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  #1  
Old 9th November 2007, 01:28 AM
Shaun Shaun is offline
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Default Big Winners

Can anyone help with this question.

If i backed the longest priced horse in every race what would my strike rate be and the profit/loss
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  #2  
Old 9th November 2007, 03:52 AM
Bhagwan Bhagwan is offline
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Heres is something you may like to try which has shown some intersting results.

Target one runner in every race that is paying $33
If not one available , take the next price down e.g. $32 ect. until one finds a selection.

I can almost guarantee to hit one or two winners within 30-35 bets.

Have a bank ratio of 1:250
Level stakes.

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  #3  
Old 9th November 2007, 04:04 AM
Bhagwan Bhagwan is offline
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If one targeted the rank outsider in all races the with 10 runners & less .
I think one will find the SR to be around 2-4%
The POT or LOT may vary wildly.

The run of outs could be anything .
e.g. 65+
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  #4  
Old 9th November 2007, 10:38 AM
Shaun Shaun is offline
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So you are saying it could be as low as 1 winner for every 100 bets or even lower
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  #5  
Old 9th November 2007, 11:37 AM
burrah burrah is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Shaun
So you are saying it could be as low as 1 winner for every 100 bets or even lower
Shaun,
If you go to Adrian Massey site you can find figures for various odds.
basically once you go above 20/1 to 100/1 you will lose between 50 and 70 per cent of your investment
regards
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  #6  
Old 9th November 2007, 12:13 PM
darkydog2002 darkydog2002 is offline
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Very handy Chart.

Thanks Burrah.

Cheers.
darky.
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  #7  
Old 9th November 2007, 04:08 PM
Shaun Shaun is offline
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Very nice indeed
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  #8  
Old 9th November 2007, 05:39 PM
Bhagwan Bhagwan is offline
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Fri 9th Nov
Using UniTAB prices using the chasing the $33 or less plan.

3 winners were struck paying $20 $23 $30
Out of 23 races =13% SR
Ret $73
Prof +50 = 217% POT

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