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thorns
18th September 2008, 01:21 PM
Am after a few stats for toying around with, if someone with a database could shed some light would be great.

1.)What percent of races are won by horses paying $15 and under?
2.)What percent of all races are won by horses with a odd numbered TAB saddlecloth?
3.)And what percent of question one are won by horses with a odd number?

What I am hoping to achieve with the stats? Well, even Im unsure about that :)

Pauls123
18th September 2008, 01:43 PM
Hey there,

Just off the cuff I would think:

1. 95%

2. 50%

3. 50%

Just being silly here, but if you can make a system out of this, good luck...!



Paul

crash
18th September 2008, 03:55 PM
Don't you worry about that. One of our wiz statsmen will!

Michal
18th September 2008, 08:17 PM
I cant answer all questions but


1 is more like 12.5% over 5000 races
I think that that is enough of a test bed

Michal

crazybadger
18th September 2008, 09:51 PM
I can do the 1st one for you quickly. Will do the others tomorrow.

From 21,803 races there were 123,729 horses offering $1-15. Of those the following occured:
1st: 19091
2nd: 17474
3rd: 16003
Not Placed: 71161

crazybadger
18th September 2008, 09:52 PM
I can do the 1st one for you quickly. Will do the others tomorrow.

From 21,803 races there were 123,729 horses offering $1-15. Of those the following occured:
1st: 19091
2nd: 17474
3rd: 16003
Not Placed: 71161

That is 07 and 08 data for horse racing only btw...

Michal
19th September 2008, 09:25 AM
Sorry


I just realised my mistake there .......
invert the stats to come up with the corect figure
87.5% for those that won less then $15 I gave you the
onse that wone OVER $15. When you look at both the stats
they are exact the same 87.5% be they over 5000 or 21,000
races this holds up, Im quite happy with that knowlege that it makes no difference if we look at last year or 5 years ago its the same statictic.

Michal

thorns
19th September 2008, 03:04 PM
Cheers for that. Reason I was asking was I have had a couple of days off for study leave and been watching more racing than usual. Came up with a fun system for backing three horses in a race. Pick one horse from the $2 to $5 range, one from the $5 to $10, and then one in the $10 to $15 range. Had some great success with it on paper using 3 units on the 1-5, 2 units 5-10, and 1 unit 10-15. Made about fifteen units on the random races I was watching on and off during the day, the best part was that the way I choose each horse, wait for it..........................................by its name lol.

Wow, it seems the girlfriends method of choosing horses was the right way all along ;)