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-   -   Value Betting Pre-Post (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=15648)

Bhagwan 27th March 2007 06:31 AM

Value Betting Pre-Post
 
Heres a method that has its good days , especially in large fields & wet tracks..
The more open the race the better it seems to work.

Pull up pre-post market as per Racingandsports or any Newspaper market.
1) Target the 4th 5th 6th 7th horse mentioned in the pre-post market.
There is some real value amongst this lot.

2) Note down their respective prices & compare to the TAB or Bookie price.

3) Bet all the 4th-7th pre-post horses that are paying less on the TAB or Bookie, (Unders) compared to Pre-post market.
e.g. $20 pre-post & $15.00 on TAB , this becomes a bet.
Bet all qualifiers.

We are assuming that if there are shorteners in the market , there might be some confidence in the horse to produce something on the day.

Some of the prices that get up are suprisingly very good, with a number of double digit winners.

Of course it only works well if the first 3 pre-post dont decide to get up all day so its an idea to only target races where the Fav has a chance of falling over.

I personally like betting in races where the Favs are in the TAB price range of $2.10-2.90 ,if they get rolled , the others can pay anything.

Bet same amount on each qualifying selection , level stakes.

Go over some past records to see for ones self.
It did very well today, Mon 27 Mar.

Cheers.

Chiquita 27th March 2007 03:14 PM

Hi Bhagwan, any particular reason wet tracks a positive factor to success with this method? Pre-post markets more or less based on good track form??

Bhagwan 27th March 2007 06:36 PM

Sometimes wet tracks play havoc with the popular horses , but then again one can find examples of that happening on good tracks aswell.

I am not suggesting to use it just on wet tracks only.

Cheers.

Chiquita 28th March 2007 11:02 AM

Gotcha Bhagwan, thanks :)

suds 28th March 2007 01:33 PM

assume re point 3 Bhagwan that you decide on which horses to punt on, in last few minutes of betting?

Chiquita 28th March 2007 02:16 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by suds
assume re point 3 Bhagwan that you decide on which horses to punt on, in last few minutes of betting?


Backing with the bookies sounds like it's the way to go!

Bhagwan 28th March 2007 06:25 PM

If betting on the TAB I wait until the 0 time is shown on UniTAB this give 60 secs to get on.

If betting on NSW TAB I would place all bets at the 1 min till off point, because it is so slow & cumbersome compared to UniTAB.

Cheers.

westi 28th March 2007 09:40 PM

Doesn't leave much time for up to 4 bets (different investment amount, the conventional way)
Hope you have a fast reliable link

westi 28th March 2007 10:05 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Chiquita
Backing with the bookies sounds like it's the way to go!


agree

watsonnek 29th March 2007 09:21 AM

Bhagwan, what's your definition of a large field? eg. 10+, 12+, 14+ etc
And do you worry about barrier draws with the big fields? I personally favour outside draws on wet tracks.


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