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Value Betting Pre-Post
Heres a method that has its good days , especially in large fields & wet tracks..
The more open the race the better it seems to work. Pull up pre-post market as per Racingandsports or any Newspaper market. 1) Target the 4th 5th 6th 7th horse mentioned in the pre-post market. There is some real value amongst this lot. 2) Note down their respective prices & compare to the TAB or Bookie price. 3) Bet all the 4th-7th pre-post horses that are paying less on the TAB or Bookie, (Unders) compared to Pre-post market. e.g. $20 pre-post & $15.00 on TAB , this becomes a bet. Bet all qualifiers. We are assuming that if there are shorteners in the market , there might be some confidence in the horse to produce something on the day. Some of the prices that get up are suprisingly very good, with a number of double digit winners. Of course it only works well if the first 3 pre-post dont decide to get up all day so its an idea to only target races where the Fav has a chance of falling over. I personally like betting in races where the Favs are in the TAB price range of $2.10-2.90 ,if they get rolled , the others can pay anything. Bet same amount on each qualifying selection , level stakes. Go over some past records to see for ones self. It did very well today, Mon 27 Mar. Cheers. |
Hi Bhagwan, any particular reason wet tracks a positive factor to success with this method? Pre-post markets more or less based on good track form??
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Sometimes wet tracks play havoc with the popular horses , but then again one can find examples of that happening on good tracks aswell.
I am not suggesting to use it just on wet tracks only. Cheers. |
Gotcha Bhagwan, thanks :)
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assume re point 3 Bhagwan that you decide on which horses to punt on, in last few minutes of betting?
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Backing with the bookies sounds like it's the way to go! |
If betting on the TAB I wait until the 0 time is shown on UniTAB this give 60 secs to get on.
If betting on NSW TAB I would place all bets at the 1 min till off point, because it is so slow & cumbersome compared to UniTAB. Cheers. |
Doesn't leave much time for up to 4 bets (different investment amount, the conventional way)
Hope you have a fast reliable link |
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agree |
Bhagwan, what's your definition of a large field? eg. 10+, 12+, 14+ etc
And do you worry about barrier draws with the big fields? I personally favour outside draws on wet tracks. |
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