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  #1  
Old 27th March 2007, 05:31 AM
Bhagwan Bhagwan is offline
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Default Value Betting Pre-Post

Heres a method that has its good days , especially in large fields & wet tracks..
The more open the race the better it seems to work.

Pull up pre-post market as per Racingandsports or any Newspaper market.
1) Target the 4th 5th 6th 7th horse mentioned in the pre-post market.
There is some real value amongst this lot.

2) Note down their respective prices & compare to the TAB or Bookie price.

3) Bet all the 4th-7th pre-post horses that are paying less on the TAB or Bookie, (Unders) compared to Pre-post market.
e.g. $20 pre-post & $15.00 on TAB , this becomes a bet.
Bet all qualifiers.

We are assuming that if there are shorteners in the market , there might be some confidence in the horse to produce something on the day.

Some of the prices that get up are suprisingly very good, with a number of double digit winners.

Of course it only works well if the first 3 pre-post dont decide to get up all day so its an idea to only target races where the Fav has a chance of falling over.

I personally like betting in races where the Favs are in the TAB price range of $2.10-2.90 ,if they get rolled , the others can pay anything.

Bet same amount on each qualifying selection , level stakes.

Go over some past records to see for ones self.
It did very well today, Mon 27 Mar.

Cheers.
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  #2  
Old 27th March 2007, 02:14 PM
Chiquita Chiquita is offline
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Hi Bhagwan, any particular reason wet tracks a positive factor to success with this method? Pre-post markets more or less based on good track form??
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  #3  
Old 27th March 2007, 05:36 PM
Bhagwan Bhagwan is offline
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Sometimes wet tracks play havoc with the popular horses , but then again one can find examples of that happening on good tracks aswell.

I am not suggesting to use it just on wet tracks only.

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  #4  
Old 28th March 2007, 10:02 AM
Chiquita Chiquita is offline
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Gotcha Bhagwan, thanks
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  #5  
Old 28th March 2007, 12:33 PM
suds suds is offline
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assume re point 3 Bhagwan that you decide on which horses to punt on, in last few minutes of betting?
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  #6  
Old 28th March 2007, 01:16 PM
Chiquita Chiquita is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by suds
assume re point 3 Bhagwan that you decide on which horses to punt on, in last few minutes of betting?


Backing with the bookies sounds like it's the way to go!
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  #7  
Old 28th March 2007, 05:25 PM
Bhagwan Bhagwan is offline
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If betting on the TAB I wait until the 0 time is shown on UniTAB this give 60 secs to get on.

If betting on NSW TAB I would place all bets at the 1 min till off point, because it is so slow & cumbersome compared to UniTAB.

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  #8  
Old 28th March 2007, 08:40 PM
westi westi is offline
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Doesn't leave much time for up to 4 bets (different investment amount, the conventional way)
Hope you have a fast reliable link

Last edited by westi : 28th March 2007 at 08:50 PM.
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  #9  
Old 28th March 2007, 09:05 PM
westi westi is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Chiquita
Backing with the bookies sounds like it's the way to go!


agree
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  #10  
Old 29th March 2007, 08:21 AM
watsonnek watsonnek is offline
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Bhagwan, what's your definition of a large field? eg. 10+, 12+, 14+ etc
And do you worry about barrier draws with the big fields? I personally favour outside draws on wet tracks.
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