Maverick 1993

No.I wouldnt disregard the particular race if your TOP selection were "unders" but I certainly Wouldn,t bet ANY "unders."
If you rated 5 horses and 3 were "overs" they would be ONLY the ones I would bet.

Cheers.
darky

Now I'm with you Darky, but that must mean that sometimes you have placed your bets on say the 3 out of 5 that were showing overs (Dutching them) only to see the other two blow out as well??

Hi Party.

In that scenario (and I bet FIXED with IAS) I can still recheck the apparent "unders "again at 2 minutes prior to the race to see whether they are now at an acceptable price.

Cheers.
darky.

If there are two selections , say $1.80 & $16.00
Maybe use a 60/40 spread on these type of situations.

I have been giving this a lot of thought lately and trying all sorts of things as i bet 2 selections a race.

At the moment i am betting an amount depending on what price the runners are.

<$5 3 units
$5-$10 2 units
>$10 1 units

But the more and more i look at it putting the same amount on each runner is the best option.

It is always a problem with favs paying a low divi, i guess you have 2 choices putting more on the fav or setting a minimum price.


The second option is what i am heading towards, setting a minimum price if the selection is below this then we just don't bet it.

Sure there are times when you will get the winner and the selection you bet on will lose but in the long run your average odds will be higher, $3.00 is a good minimum price i think and if you use betfair or a bookie you should not have to many of these.

I feel the 60/40 split rather than 50/50 will answer most of your concerns where 2 horses are to be bet .
Because most of ones winners will come from the lower of the 2 priced horses.


You might like to try this approach.

Betting 3 horses a race.

To be used where at least one of the selections is $8.00+

Bet 2+1+1

In Price order.

It can work well.

I feel its an idea not to load short priced horses too much when multi-betting , use them more as a saver to cover some of the greater paying chances.

A win bet with one or two savers. A good move ...as long as one of them wins. It can get very expensive when none of them get up though.

A rare occurence on a days betting though.

Cheers.
darky

Betting 5 horses a race.

Target first 5 in Pre-post market.

.Fav must be $3.00+ in the live market.

.One or more selections must be $12.00+

.Bet 2 units on the Fav & 1 unit on all the others.

.Total O/L 6 units

Some fun can be had with this in races with 12 & less runners any more & the SR can fall away.
It's SR is very high.
It has produced winners up to $30.00 which had terrible form.

Works best with Betfair, with some amazing results.

Chasing the Overs.

Another approach is to multiply the top 5 pre-post selection's price x 1.4
e.g.
$7 PP x 1.40 = $9.80 This is the price we want to grab.


Now bet all that that you find within the 5 selections that qualify ,say 4 min out till jump using Betfair.

Grab the price as soon as you see it for half of your normal bet & place the other half of your bet at say 60 secs till jump.

That way, one wont beat ones self up so much if the price blows right out.

If the bet comes right in , still bet it with the other half of your bet.
It could mean that there is market confidence about the horse to produce a win & often does.

Betting 1% of bank.

Cheers.