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-   -   Don Scott Quinellas (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=21512)

michaelg 4th May 2011 06:51 PM

Mark, if I test a Trifecta system I will sometimes do so on paper. But if I prefer to test it with real money, I will with a flexi bet of 1% and record the results assuming a $1 bet. So fortunately emotion is not an issue with me when testing.

If I was to bet $1.00 per combination I would have to do so on a sure-fire winning system - are there any?

Bhagwan 5th May 2011 04:45 AM

The safest win staking plan is .5% flat stakes .
Adjusted up & down on a floating bank , at the beginning of each new day .

This helps address those very real fears that comes to all of us on the punt at some stage.

michaelg 5th May 2011 08:26 AM

I've had a look at yesterday's results.

Limiting those races that had a maximum of 8 selections did not perform too badly.

The win outlay was $76 for a return of $108.80 with the TAB, but only a disappointing $109.23 on Betfair S.P.

The quinella outlay was $197 for a return of $200.

The trifecta outlay was $1,830 for a return of $1,620.

I also had a look at Tuesday's results, and again limiting the selections to a max of 8 would have had an excellent day.

Today I'll list the selections when available.

I'm also considering S.P. laying all horses from the method that are $100-plus in the D.S. market regardless of the amount of selections. Out of interest I did so yesterday with one race, and made a good profit on it. I wish I had continued because there were no accidents yesterday, neither on Tuesday.

moeee 5th May 2011 11:24 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bhagwan
I for one, am prepared for you to take that risk.


LOLLLL!!!

michaelg 5th May 2011 12:23 PM

Today's selections:

Gosford
2/ 3, 4, 5, 8, 14
5/ 2, 4, 5, 7, 10, 12, 15
8/ 2, 5, 7, 8, 9, 13

Wagga
1/ 2, 3, 4, 7, 9, 10, 11, 15
2/ 2, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 14, 15
6/ 1, 2, 3, 10

Launceston
1/ 3, 4, 6, 7, 9, 10, 12
2/ 4, 8, 9, 11, 12, 13, 14

W'bool
2/ 1, 2, 3, 4, 11, 14, 16, 19
5/ 1, 2, 7, 9, 10, 12, 15, 19

Pt Augusta
2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 9, 10

Albany
1/ 1, 2, 3, 4, 11, 13, 14
2/ 1, 2, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 13

Win outlay $98
Quinella $305
Trifecta $3,366

michaelg 5th May 2011 12:45 PM

Just for interest I might bet on the non-maiden races.

They are:
Gosford R8
Launceston R1
W'bool R5
Pt Augusta R7

michaelg 5th May 2011 07:16 PM

A mixed bag today.

Win
Outlay $98
Return$81.60 (NSW TAB)
Loss $16.40

Quinellas
Outlay
$305
Return $490
Profit $185

Trifectas
Outlay $3,366
Return $8,330
Profit $4,964

jose 5th May 2011 07:30 PM

Wish I could have a mixed bag like the TRI divies!
Well done MG, hope you got some of it.

michaelg 5th May 2011 07:53 PM

Unfortunately I didn't.

However I used it as a lay method against some of the non-qualifiers, and won a few dollars.

Ricardo48 5th May 2011 09:31 PM

Hi michaelg, I have had a look at this idea which seems promising.
The only difference I made was rather then cover all selections @ $100 or less, I dropped the qualifying price to $31 or less.
This way you don't have to cover as many selections and your outlay is smaller.


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