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-   -   Another Test (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=23226)

michaelg 20th January 2012 10:35 AM

Today I will only list those races that have six selections or more because they could be races where there are several chances. Yesterday there were four of them - they were all profitable. However, I will also privately monitor today's races that have five and less selections.

Ballina
3/ 1, 2, 3, 6, 7, 8
7/ 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 7, 9, 10

M'ton
7/ 2, 3, 4, 7, 8, 9
8/ 1, 3, 4, 5, 7, 10

Ipswich
6/ 2, 3, 4, 7, 11,12
7/ 1, 2, 3, 6, 7, 8

Cranbourne
6/ 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 9

michaelg 20th January 2012 06:56 PM

Not the worst of days. A profit of $4.72 was made.

A small profit but the liability is also small.

michaelg 21st January 2012 10:35 AM

Today's qualifying races:

The numbers shown are layed for a liability of $30, all others for $31

Flemington
6/ 2, 3, 5, 7, 8, 11
8/1, 2, 4, 5, 6, 7

Eagle Farm
4/ 1, 4, 5, 8, 9, 12

M'ville
6/ 1, 2, 3, 4, 8, 10

Albury
6/ 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 10

Toowoomba
1/ 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 7

Ascot
5/ 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 13, 14

michaelg 21st January 2012 06:14 PM

Not a bad day. There were five profitable races from the seven for an overall profit of $5.70.

As a matter of interest, if every selection since I started listing the selections and their liabilities here on Thursday, were bet for $5 on Betfair S.P., the results after 5% had been deducted, would have been:

Thursday - $230 bet for a return of $273.30.
Friday - $355 bet for a return of $465.20.
Today - $390 bet for a return of $455.40.

Total bet = $975
Total return = $1193
Profit = $218, which is a POT of 22%.

michaelg 22nd January 2012 11:27 AM

In my last posting I listed the total Betfair S.P. return for backing every horse for $5 in the qualifying races over the past three days. The total outlay was $975 and the total Betfair S.P. return was $1,193 for a POT of 22%.

Out of interest I've compared this with the NSW TAB - the TAB return was surprisingly $1,260 which is about 5% more then S.P. However, it was only 18 races, but it was 195 bets.

Today's qualifying races and the liabilities are:

Grafton
5/ 1, 3, 4, 7, 8, 9

Ballarat
6/ 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 8, 10
7/ 1, 2, 3, 6, 8, 10

Geraldton
6/ 1, 3, 4, 6, 8, 11
7/ 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 9

The Ocho 22nd January 2012 12:24 PM

You're going well there MG, keep it up.

Mark 22nd January 2012 06:11 PM

Hard to lose today as a layer with some of the big SP's.

michaelg 22nd January 2012 07:26 PM

No, it was a terrible day thanks to Geraldton R7 where the hot fave won.

The method lost $3.51.

After the four days it is $13.00 in profit so I can't really complain, just disappointed.

michaelg 23rd January 2012 10:36 AM

Today there's only one qualifying race.

Moruya
7/ 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7


I have also been looking at the weight carried by horses, particularly those of 59.5-plus kilos.

Over the past seven days there were 49 selections that qualified for a system I'm checking. As there were 49 smiles from them, some at single figure prices I'll list today's only selection and see how it goes.

Terang 8/2 ($11 pre-post)

michaelg 23rd January 2012 06:50 PM

A winning day for the method for a profit of $2.04.

The "weight" selection was beaten for a smile/profit of $1.46.


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