#1
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Another Test
I've been doing very well in Laying the Field for races with 12-plus runners. I've not yet had a losing day.
Using the same selection process I've looked at races with 8 to 11 starters but only for Win betting. The NSW TAB is showing loss of approx 11% which isn't too bad seeing that they take about 16% commission. So I've looked at the divvies with Betfair S.P. Not surprisingly there is a profit of almost 6% on outlay, and this is betting every selection. It's a lot easier to list the selections here than there is to list the Lay the Field selections. And I think there would be more interest here. So I'll show today's selections Rosehill 7/ 1, 3, 6, 8 Gold Coast 2/ 4, 5, 7, 8, 10 Flemington 4/ 1, 4, 6, 9, 11 7/ 1, 2, 4, 6, 7 M'ville 5/ 1, 4, 5, 7, 8 Ipswich 5/ 2, 4, 6, 7 Queanbeyan 3/ 2, 3, 5, 8 7/ 1, 2, 3, 7 Toowoomba 4/ 1, 2, 3, 4 5/ 2, 3, 4, 6 Bairnsdale 4/ 3, 4, 6, 7 6/ 3, 5, 6, 7 7/ 2, 3, 4 6 |
#2
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Not a bad day. The outlay was $56 and the return was $61.67 for a profit of $5.67, or a POT of 10.1%.
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#3
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Today's selections are:
Cowra 7/ 1, 2, 3, 5 Werribee 7/ 2, 4, 5, 11 Kilmore 4/ 5, 6, 8, 10 5/ 1, 3, 4, 7 7/ 3, 4, 6, 9 Strathalbyn 3/ 2, 3, 7, 8 7/ 2, 4, 5, 9 Hobart 2/ 1, 2, 4, 7 3/ 1, 2, 4, 5 6/ 2, 4, 5, 8 9/ 3, 5, 9, 10 Because I prefer laying I haven't been betting the method, but will do so today with $5.00 S.P. bets...and hope. |
#4
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A losing day yesterday - it lost $33.10. Its showing a 10% POT so I'll continue to list the selections.
However, laying the field compensated for the loss. If the bet system goes backwards I might show the selections and liabilities for laying the field method (someone might be interested). Today's bet selections: Ararat 8/ 1, 3, 7, 12 Nowra 1/ 2, 5, 6, 7 6/ 4, 7, 9, 11 |
#5
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Always interested mg.
__________________
Jose'. |
#6
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Thanks, jose.
I seldom lay fields with less than 12 starters but because there are no qualifying races today I have layed 4 other races that would've qualified if there wasn't the 12 runner rule. I've won on 2 of them (8 and 11 starters) so I'll list the two remaining races. Canberra R6 2 - $30 3 - 32 4 - 35 5 - 35 6 - 33 7 - 34 8 - 32 9 - 35 10 - 33 11 - 35 12 - 35 Canberra R7 2 - 32 3 - 33 4 - 35 5 - 34 6 - 35 7 - 30 8 - 33 9 - 35 10 - 33 11 - 35 12 - 35 |
#7
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There is one genuine qualifying race today.
Launceston R1 $30 - nos. 2, 4, 5, 8 $31 - all other horses. |
#8
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The profit was $1.46, the worst possible result would have been a loss of $2.16.
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#9
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No qualifying races today.
Because there are too few qualifying races I'm looking at a second Lay the Field method which provides a fair bit of action. The method hasn't been doing too badly so I'll list today's selections, with the liabilities. The selections listed below are layed for a liability of $30 and all the remaining horses for $31. Muswellbrook 8/ 1, 2, 3, 4, 7, 8, 9 9/ 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7 Pinjarra 6/ 1, 2, 3, 4, 12 7/ 1, 2, 5, 6, 8, 11 8/ 1, 3, 4 Seymour 8/ 1, 6 Rocky 5/ 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7 |
#10
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A small loss yesterday due to Seymour R8 which had only two $30 selections. This most likely means that the race is not "open". Consequently the fave was much shorter than I expected, and unfortunately won resulting in the loss. This is something I will now have to consider.
As a matter of interest, the selection method depends on the neurals. When I identified the $30 selections yesterday in my neural market one of them was at single figures yet when I checked later in the day after a few races had already been run, it was showing $100 and now that the races are finished it's $200 ??? |
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