Smartgambler
Pro-Punter

Go Back   OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums > Public Forums > Horse Race Betting Systems
User Name
Password
Register FAQ Search Today's Posts Mark all topics as read

To advertise on these
forums, e-mail us.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #1  
Old 14th January 2012, 11:06 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,788
Wink Another Test

I've been doing very well in Laying the Field for races with 12-plus runners. I've not yet had a losing day.

Using the same selection process I've looked at races with 8 to 11 starters but only for Win betting.

The NSW TAB is showing loss of approx 11% which isn't too bad seeing that they take about 16% commission.

So I've looked at the divvies with Betfair S.P. Not surprisingly there is a profit of almost 6% on outlay, and this is betting every selection.

It's a lot easier to list the selections here than there is to list the Lay the Field selections. And I think there would be more interest here. So I'll show today's selections

Rosehill
7/ 1, 3, 6, 8

Gold Coast
2/ 4, 5, 7, 8, 10

Flemington
4/ 1, 4, 6, 9, 11
7/ 1, 2, 4, 6, 7

M'ville
5/ 1, 4, 5, 7, 8

Ipswich
5/ 2, 4, 6, 7

Queanbeyan
3/ 2, 3, 5, 8
7/ 1, 2, 3, 7

Toowoomba
4/ 1, 2, 3, 4
5/ 2, 3, 4, 6

Bairnsdale
4/ 3, 4, 6, 7
6/ 3, 5, 6, 7
7/ 2, 3, 4 6
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 14th January 2012, 07:52 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,788
Wink

Not a bad day. The outlay was $56 and the return was $61.67 for a profit of $5.67, or a POT of 10.1%.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 15th January 2012, 11:15 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,788
Wink

Today's selections are:

Cowra
7/ 1, 2, 3, 5

Werribee
7/ 2, 4, 5, 11

Kilmore
4/ 5, 6, 8, 10
5/ 1, 3, 4, 7
7/ 3, 4, 6, 9

Strathalbyn
3/ 2, 3, 7, 8
7/ 2, 4, 5, 9

Hobart
2/ 1, 2, 4, 7
3/ 1, 2, 4, 5
6/ 2, 4, 5, 8
9/ 3, 5, 9, 10


Because I prefer laying I haven't been betting the method, but will do so today with $5.00 S.P. bets...and hope.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 16th January 2012, 11:38 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,788
Wink

A losing day yesterday - it lost $33.10. Its showing a 10% POT so I'll continue to list the selections.

However, laying the field compensated for the loss. If the bet system goes backwards I might show the selections and liabilities for laying the field method (someone might be interested).

Today's bet selections:

Ararat
8/ 1, 3, 7, 12

Nowra
1/ 2, 5, 6, 7
6/ 4, 7, 9, 11
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 16th January 2012, 11:45 AM
jose jose is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: brisbane
Posts: 419
Thumbs up

Always interested mg.
__________________
Jose'.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 17th January 2012, 03:41 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,788
Wink

Thanks, jose.

I seldom lay fields with less than 12 starters but because there are no qualifying races today I have layed 4 other races that would've qualified if there wasn't the 12 runner rule. I've won on 2 of them (8 and 11 starters) so I'll list the two remaining races.

Canberra R6
2 - $30
3 - 32
4 - 35
5 - 35
6 - 33
7 - 34
8 - 32
9 - 35
10 - 33
11 - 35
12 - 35

Canberra R7
2 - 32
3 - 33
4 - 35
5 - 34
6 - 35
7 - 30
8 - 33
9 - 35
10 - 33
11 - 35
12 - 35
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 18th January 2012, 02:49 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,788
Wink

There is one genuine qualifying race today.

Launceston R1
$30 - nos. 2, 4, 5, 8
$31 - all other horses.
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 18th January 2012, 05:26 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,788
Wink

The profit was $1.46, the worst possible result would have been a loss of $2.16.
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 19th January 2012, 03:31 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,788
Wink

No qualifying races today.

Because there are too few qualifying races I'm looking at a second Lay the Field method which provides a fair bit of action.

The method hasn't been doing too badly so I'll list today's selections, with the liabilities.

The selections listed below are layed for a liability of $30 and all the remaining horses for $31.

Muswellbrook
8/ 1, 2, 3, 4, 7, 8, 9
9/ 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7

Pinjarra
6/ 1, 2, 3, 4, 12
7/ 1, 2, 5, 6, 8, 11
8/ 1, 3, 4

Seymour
8/ 1, 6

Rocky
5/ 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 20th January 2012, 08:05 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,788
Wink

A small loss yesterday due to Seymour R8 which had only two $30 selections. This most likely means that the race is not "open". Consequently the fave was much shorter than I expected, and unfortunately won resulting in the loss. This is something I will now have to consider.

As a matter of interest, the selection method depends on the neurals. When I identified the $30 selections yesterday in my neural market one of them was at single figures yet when I checked later in the day after a few races had already been run, it was showing $100 and now that the races are finished it's $200 ???
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Forum Jump



All times are GMT +10. The time now is 09:12 PM.


Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
©2008 OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved . ACN 091184655