Another Test
 

I've been doing very well in Laying the Field for races with 12-plus runners. I've not yet had a losing day.

Using the same selection process I've looked at races with 8 to 11 starters but only for Win betting.

The NSW TAB is showing loss of approx 11% which isn't too bad seeing that they take about 16% commission.

So I've looked at the divvies with Betfair S.P. Not surprisingly there is a profit of almost 6% on outlay, and this is betting every selection.

It's a lot easier to list the selections here than there is to list the Lay the Field selections. And I think there would be more interest here. So I'll show today's selections

Rosehill
7/ 1, 3, 6, 8

Gold Coast
2/ 4, 5, 7, 8, 10

Flemington
4/ 1, 4, 6, 9, 11
7/ 1, 2, 4, 6, 7

M'ville
5/ 1, 4, 5, 7, 8

Ipswich
5/ 2, 4, 6, 7

Queanbeyan
3/ 2, 3, 5, 8
7/ 1, 2, 3, 7

Toowoomba
4/ 1, 2, 3, 4
5/ 2, 3, 4, 6

Bairnsdale
4/ 3, 4, 6, 7
6/ 3, 5, 6, 7
7/ 2, 3, 4 6

Not a bad day. The outlay was $56 and the return was $61.67 for a profit of $5.67, or a POT of 10.1%.

Today's selections are:

Cowra
7/ 1, 2, 3, 5

Werribee
7/ 2, 4, 5, 11

Kilmore
4/ 5, 6, 8, 10
5/ 1, 3, 4, 7
7/ 3, 4, 6, 9

Strathalbyn
3/ 2, 3, 7, 8
7/ 2, 4, 5, 9

Hobart
2/ 1, 2, 4, 7
3/ 1, 2, 4, 5
6/ 2, 4, 5, 8
9/ 3, 5, 9, 10


Because I prefer laying I haven't been betting the method, but will do so today with $5.00 S.P. bets...and hope.

A losing day yesterday - it lost $33.10. Its showing a 10% POT so I'll continue to list the selections.

However, laying the field compensated for the loss. If the bet system goes backwards I might show the selections and liabilities for laying the field method (someone might be interested).

Today's bet selections:

Ararat
8/ 1, 3, 7, 12

Nowra
1/ 2, 5, 6, 7
6/ 4, 7, 9, 11

Always interested mg.

Thanks, jose.

I seldom lay fields with less than 12 starters but because there are no qualifying races today I have layed 4 other races that would've qualified if there wasn't the 12 runner rule. I've won on 2 of them (8 and 11 starters) so I'll list the two remaining races.

Canberra R6
2 - $30
3 - 32
4 - 35
5 - 35
6 - 33
7 - 34
8 - 32
9 - 35
10 - 33
11 - 35
12 - 35

Canberra R7
2 - 32
3 - 33
4 - 35
5 - 34
6 - 35
7 - 30
8 - 33
9 - 35
10 - 33
11 - 35
12 - 35

There is one genuine qualifying race today.

Launceston R1
$30 - nos. 2, 4, 5, 8
$31 - all other horses.

The profit was $1.46, the worst possible result would have been a loss of $2.16.

No qualifying races today.

Because there are too few qualifying races I'm looking at a second Lay the Field method which provides a fair bit of action.

The method hasn't been doing too badly so I'll list today's selections, with the liabilities.

The selections listed below are layed for a liability of $30 and all the remaining horses for $31.

Muswellbrook
8/ 1, 2, 3, 4, 7, 8, 9
9/ 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7

Pinjarra
6/ 1, 2, 3, 4, 12
7/ 1, 2, 5, 6, 8, 11
8/ 1, 3, 4

Seymour
8/ 1, 6

Rocky
5/ 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7

A small loss yesterday due to Seymour R8 which had only two $30 selections. This most likely means that the race is not "open". Consequently the fave was much shorter than I expected, and unfortunately won resulting in the loss. This is something I will now have to consider.

As a matter of interest, the selection method depends on the neurals. When I identified the $30 selections yesterday in my neural market one of them was at single figures yet when I checked later in the day after a few races had already been run, it was showing $100 and now that the races are finished it's $200 ???