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-   -   Long Shot 100 raters (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=24801)

UselessBettor 25th August 2012 11:55 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by aussielongboat
in the period from aprill 11 until july 2012 these are the results using tattsbet prices

starters 650
places 143
plc profit -150
winners 54
win profit -22
win pot -3%
win sr 8%


cheers

aussie

You would think betfair would easily cover the 3% considering its usually the longer shots where you get the good odds.

Luxinterior 25th August 2012 05:38 PM

By moving up to the true roughie zone but kicking out the despised longer roughies results may improve.

1. Don Scott Rank 1 - 5
2. Runners 14 and greater
3. 100 Unitab rater
4. Price $16.00 - $26.00 (15/1 to 25/1)



Very small sample but perhaps worthy of further investigation.

Selections: 72
Wins: 9
Return: $172
SR: 12.5%
POT: 139%

Vortech 25th August 2012 08:01 PM

Also another filter to use is career starts.

Basically the base rating for the Don Scott Worksheet is the best of the last 3 runs.

So a horse can have 2 starts and be at 60. then it can jump to 24.

Check out Goodwood Race 4 number 7 for example


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