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-   -   Still Going Strong (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=6967)

shoto 10th January 2005 08:47 PM

Yes. More filters usually means more backfitting, which can create great results from past results, but not so good results on future races. A recent quote of Bhagwan's is spot on - "trying to find patterns is like analysing shifting sands".

Filters need to be created out of a logical process first, and then applied to the data, rather than randomly trying things and keeping them if they happen to increase the profit over a set of past results.

Shaun: "Guys the Holy Grail is out there and being used by a select few that don't post on here" ... any more details on that one?? :):)

Chuck 22nd January 2005 03:58 PM

Can't Argue With Results
 
Last week:
MR1-1 X
AR 1st $2.80 & $1.40
PR 1st $4.20 & $1.70
CR X
WR 1st $1.40 & $1.10

Today:
SR1-1 1st $5.60
MR 4th
BR 4th
PR 2nd $2.00
WR X

Two week Win Outlay ($10 each): $100
Return : $140

More profits!!

gizzard 23rd January 2005 09:08 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by darkydog2002
Over 3 years.
WIN
884 bets/215 wins/Strike rate 24.32 %/LOT 20.93 %

PLACE
884 bets/496 places /Strike rate 56.11 %/LOT 13.69 %
Darky, I took another look at the results you were good enough to post and see that there were only 884 bets. Were these restricted to Metro only or, perhaps, just for certain states? I would expect far more over 3 years.
Thanks.

darkydog2002 23rd January 2005 08:00 PM

HI GIZZARD.
 
They were for every type of race 7 days a week everywhere.
Cheers.
darky.

Chuck 24th January 2005 09:05 AM

Sunday
 
2 selections on Sunday for a 1st ($3.40 & $1.70) and a 3rd ($1.80)

Shaun 24th January 2005 01:06 PM

Well as far as horse racing is concerned it has been spoken about on here before of backing the whole field....but i can't go in to it...last time it created a hell storm....but on a more moden note....what aout backing a selection then laying it back at a lower price for a definate profit....that seams to be the holy grail to me

Chuck 24th January 2005 06:02 PM

sounds good to me!

yuckman 25th January 2005 08:49 AM

Backing every horse in a race
 
Guys,
I've just run this data thru Bet Selector(Price Predictor) for all races in 2004.
Horses paying between $2 and $20 for the win were winning 86% of races, with a 15% LOT.
Horses paying between $1.10 and $20 got up in 93% of races- LOT was 15%.
Horses paying up to $10 won 80%, with a LOT% of 15%

That's just a single filter- Those of you that dutch bet could make a quid from that one!

Chuck 29th January 2005 04:54 PM

Today's Results:

SR1-1 3rd $2.00
MR 1st $6.00 & $1.70
AR 3rd N.T.D
CR 2nd $1.04
WR 2nd $1.30

3 week outlay: $150
3 week return: $200

Chuck 13th February 2005 10:38 AM

Yesterday:

SR1-1 3rd NTD
MR 4th
AR 3rd $1.40
BR 1st $1.30 & $1.20
CR 2nd $1.50
WR 2nd $1.90
TR 1st $6.10 & $2.30

4 Week Outlay: $200
4 Week Return: $294

POT 47%


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