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Not a bad resuult, Docdapunta.
I should have included Moonee Valley because the outlay was $1,440. The quaddie was won, paying $3,000. It would still have been a losing day. If every selection was bet to Win, the outlay would have been $114 for a return of $107.50 on Unitab, but $139 on Betfair. |
Keep all those big quaddies in if you can michaelg??
More food for thought on a bigger plate, I reckon. Cheers LG |
L.G. if I have time today to do so I will.
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I'ld be lucky to afford to spend $1440 in a fortnight
I'ld simply die if I lost that amount in a single wager. You guys must be rich. |
Hi Moeee,
As docdapunter stated, it's all about the Flexi bet, minimum bet in the Moonee valley example is $14. |
I've only been able at the moment to prepare the quaddie selections for the four main meetings. I hope to do the others later.
Rosehill 2, 3, 5, 6, 7 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 10 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 7, 10, 11 2, 3, 4, 6, 9, 10, 13 Outlay of $2,240 Flemington 1, 6, 7, 8, 10, 11, 13, 14 5, 9, 10, 12, 13 3, 6, 8, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 16 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 11, 12, 13, 14 Outlay of $3,600 Eagle Farm 1, 5 1, 2, 3, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 14, 15 2, 3, 5, 6, 7, 8, 10, 11, 12, 17, 18 2, 4, 6, 8, 10, 14 Outlay of $1,320 Morphetville Field (11 selections - hope an outside wins) 1, 4, 7, 8, 9,10, 11, 12 2, 3, 4, 5, 10, 11 1, 3, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 11, 13 Outlay of $4,752 Total outlay of $11,912. |
Today's remaining quaddies:
Stawell 6, 8 4, 5, 7, 8 2, 5, 6, 8,10, 11 1, 2, 5, 6, 8, 10, 13 Outlay of $336 Bathurst 1, 2, 6, 8 1, 2, 3, 5, 7, 8, 10 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9 1, 2, 4, 7, 9, 11 Outlay of $1,344 Ascot 1, 2, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 11 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 9, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15 Field (16 selections) 2, 5, 7, 8, 9, 11 Outlay of $8,448 Total outlay $10,128 Total outlay for today's qualifying quaddies $22,040. If any horse of any leg of any quaddie is having its first-ever race then I omit that quaddie. |
Had an interesting result on Sat with a modified verion of the lg1 hedge clipper.
Have dubbed it "Short Back n Sides", results as follows (4 Quads / 16 legs) lg1: 100% SR - Out 12,499 In 4,174 sBs: 88% SR - Out 819 In 4,174 (Tatts: Rosehill & M'ville) Might whip up something on main Quaddy thread but Sat only. LG |
Hi LG,
What paramaters are you using to "clip" the quaddie legs? It has always been a problem I have encountered that the cost gets prohibitive, even with the flexibet option. |
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In layman's terms: what probably won't win gets clipped, using a consistent approach across all legs. There is not a method in heaven or on earth which can predict a roughie getting up + which one imho ! LG |
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PS sBs showed a 35.1% return at level stakes over the 16 legs, which gave me the most joy (oddly enough) |
Correction to last post - s/be 20.2% at level stakes i.e. missed out on 2 legs. Still pleasing however.
LG |
Thanks LG,
That makes sense but isn't funny what I think can't win you may think it can - personal opinion. |
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Sorry, T2 - you lost me here?? LG |
I think what TTA is getting at is with shaving down your selections your using personal opinion rather then any filters on what can or can't win. So TTA is just its funny how what one person thinks can win another will think it can't - guess that comes back to the mentality of sports and horse betting, there's always two sides to a bet.
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Yes, all good points you make there TO (I geddit now, T2).
My hedge muncher here runs on a mix of wisdom and 'clean air' i.e. devoid of my own personal opinions, as it happens. Cheers LG |
I looked at yesterday's quaddies, with the rules of no Maidens and in every leg every horse must have had at least one career start. Seeing I'm looking at 12 months performance (see below) I don't know how valid this rule is.
Backing the top half in the 12 months ratings as shown on D.Scott's worksheet, the quaddie was struck in only one of yesterday's three quaddies. For the total outlay of slightly over $3,000 the return was $12,000 (the Dubbo quaddie). I haven't had time to research this method but have been able to identify today's selections, which are: Muswellbrook 2, 3, 6, 7, 8 1, 3, 5, 7, 8, 12 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7 1, 6, 7, 9, 10, 11, 13 Outlay of $1,008 Townsville 1, 2, 3, 5, 7, 8 1, 2, 5, 6, 7, 8 2, 3, 7, 8 1, 3, 5, 7, 10 Outlay of $720. Because of the interest in quaddies on this forum I decided to post this even though it might immediately crash in a spectacular way. |
Looks v interesting michaelg, most stuff from you is however!
Any chance you could re-post (Ctrl V / C etc) onto the 'Query on Quadrella thread given its meaty substance?? Cheers LG |
Hi, L.G.
Unfortunately not being familiar with computers I tried to do it but am unable to do so. The first leg at Muswellbrook was not won. |
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