OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums

OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/index.php)
-   Horse Race Betting Systems (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/forumdisplay.php?f=10)
-   -   value (again) (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=6651)

KennyVictor 21st December 2004 11:46 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by DR RON
I also read up about a bloke named Nick Aubrey, also mentioned on a thread
and see that he uses a group of ratings from each horse to do comparisons.

Has anybody else read about his methods and have any comments to make about them?

I read the article on his use of a group of ratings and have to say I found it a fascinating approach. It makes more sense to compare a reliable horse which returns a similar rating all the time against a patchy horse with good and bad runs using this method. It uses the good runs and the bad runs instead of an average of those runs to create a set of prices. I haven't used the method yet but intend to try it very soon.
His example using the dice is fascinating too and as soon as I fashion a set of these dice and learn how to use them I think I'll be able to grift a lot more winnings from my friends than I ever make at the TAB. :-)

syllabus23 22nd December 2004 03:23 PM

Syllabus23, which ratings would you use from the tassie site?

Dr Ron I'm a bit embarrased to say that mostly I use the last rating from the Thorough Form (old Super Form).The main reason I do this is because I have found that they consistently throw up winners at good odds.Having said that, I must qualify that statement and say that I use those ratings selectively when it suits me.Using the range of criteria available to me I might come up with five possibles for any given race.Generally I let the market eliminate two of those and the dutch the remaining three.

With regard to the Thorough Form Interactive one of my friends, who is in fact punting for a living,was astounded at the range of information available on that site.I like to mess around in there occasionally when I have time.But to be perfectly honest whenever I start to get serious about form I find myself starting to suffer the old "paralysis by analysis" syndrome.

Happy Xmas All.........

Chrome Prince 22nd December 2004 04:16 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by syllabus23
But to be perfectly honest whenever I start to get serious about form I find myself starting to suffer the old "paralysis by analysis" syndrome.



Hi Syllabus23,

Merry Xmas.

I've been down that track myself, overwhelmed by information, that I cannot make any decision!

I've found that a lot of information has no direct impact on the horse's performance TODAY.

Pick out two or three important criteria and stick with it, then you stand a chance.

The trick is selecting what is most important, and disregard the rest, including many long held beliefs which really aren't accurate with regards to impact or strike rate.

Shaun 22nd December 2004 04:24 PM

Thats the true Chrome...i see some ratings programs and services claim that they use up to 20 different criteria to find there selections....exactly like you say find less than 6 bits of form to study and that will do you....would be interested to know what you and others think is the most important bits...i know we have done this before but never hurts to bring it back to life.


All times are GMT +10. The time now is 06:00 PM.

Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.