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-   -   Trust the public Tips (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=16498)

wesmip1 5th September 2007 08:47 AM

Trust the public Tips
 
Trying a new system that has a quite a high number of bets each day. The system relies on trusting the public and finding "good" favouties. For the purpose of the system a fav is anything that goes off at $5 or less.

The only requirements for the horses below to be a bet are they start at $5 or lower on a tote (with about 30 secs to go) and the track condition is good or fast.

SEYMOUR - 02 - ASTRAL DANZA
SEYMOUR - 03 - BEIJING MAGIC
SEYMOUR - 03 - LIGHT VISION
SEYMOUR - 04 - DARK NOTE
SEYMOUR - 05 - TRADITIONAL BLUES
SEYMOUR - 06 - SUNBURNT LAND
SEYMOUR - 07 - JOEY JO JO
SEYMOUR - 08 - FORMAL ATTIRE
BALAKLAVA - 08 - JIM S PARTY
BALAKLAVA - 08 - SILENT ACTION
BELMONT - 02 - THE FUTURE
BELMONT - 03 - KATZ KID
BELMONT - 06 - WEST RIVER BOY

The betting will be $1 for a WIN and $1 for a place. No Progression just flat stakes.

Starting Bank is $100

All quoted prices for results will be Betfair odds (and if betfair odds are not available then we use UNITAB odds.)

Good Luck

wesmip1 5th September 2007 06:59 PM

SEYMOUR - 02 - ASTRAL DANZA - NO BET
SEYMOUR - 03 - BEIJING MAGIC - SCRATCHED
SEYMOUR - 03 - LIGHT VISION - WIN $2.40 / $1.21
SEYMOUR - 04 - DARK NOTE - NO BET
SEYMOUR - 05 - TRADITIONAL BLUES - NO BET
SEYMOUR - 06 - SUNBURNT LAND - SCRATCHED
SEYMOUR - 07 - JOEY JO JO - 3rd $1.58
SEYMOUR - 08 - FORMAL ATTIRE 2nd $1.54

BALAKLAVA - 08 - JIM S PARTY - NO BET
BALAKLAVA - 08 - SILENT ACTION - NO BET

BELMONT - 02 - THE FUTURE 2nd $2.00
BELMONT - 03 - KATZ KID - NO BET
BELMONT - 06 - WEST RIVER BOY - NO BET

Total Win Bets : 4
Return : $2.40

Total Place Bets: 4
Return : $6.33

Total Bets: 8
Return : $8.73

Profitable day overall.

Good Luck.

wesmip1 6th September 2007 07:33 AM

Not as many selections today:

MT GAMBIER - 07 - DAVINCIS SECRET
NORTHAM - 02 - LIFE BECKONS
NORTHAM - 06 - AERIAL MUSTER
NORTHAM - 08 - WEST RIVER BOY

Good Luck.

crash 6th September 2007 09:08 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by wesmip1
Trying a new system that has a quite a high number of bets each day. The system relies on trusting the public and finding "good" favouties. For the purpose of the system a fav is anything that goes off at $5 or less.

The only requirements for the horses below to be a bet are they start at $5 or lower on a tote (with about 30 secs to go) and the track condition is good or fast.

Good Luck


wesmip1,

How are you deciding that the horses you put up are going to start public favorites, or are they pre-post favorites from the newspaper or something? How do you determine which horses to list here?

Sportz 6th September 2007 09:29 AM

I think he's using a certain selection criteria (which has nothing to do with odds), and then he only backs them if they start $5 or less.

wesmip1 6th September 2007 10:20 AM

Crash,

Sportz is correct.

I have developed a way of determining if a market fav is worth backing. It is based on a number of rules (one of which is last start winner). But of course I don't know which horse will be a fav at runtime so this is a method which requires you to be sitting in front of the pc watching the prices. If it looks like the horse will go at $5 or less then its a bet.

The only other condition is that the track should be rated GOOD or FAST.

Good Luck.

Chrome Prince 6th September 2007 11:57 AM

I guess you could set up some sort of trigger betting program, that bets "only if".

I know myself, it gets very frustrating if you watch for the whole day and only one horse qualifies.

wesmip1 6th September 2007 12:26 PM

Chrome Prince,

Done that myself ... and it works quite well. Currently reads all tabs and places the bet on betfair if it meets certain criteria.

Good Luck.

wesmip1 6th September 2007 06:41 PM

MT GAMBIER - 07 - DAVINCIS SECRET - NO BET
NORTHAM - 02 - LIFE BECKONS - 2nd $2.00
NORTHAM - 06 - AERIAL MUSTER - WIN $4.00 / $1.63
NORTHAM - 08 - WEST RIVER BOY - LOST
Total Win Bets : 7
Return : $6.40

Total Place Bets: 7
Return : $9.96

Total Bets: 14
Return : $16.36

Overall still in profit.

wesmip1 6th September 2007 06:46 PM

Tommorrows bets:

Remeber Must be $5 or lower on a tote and TrackCondition must be GOOD or FAST.

ALICE SPRINGS - 01 - CAMDEN
CANBERRA - 05 - BANDJIN
MOE - 09 - CHIEFCOMINGFIRST
SANDOWN - 01 - BLOKKATOO
SANDOWN - 02 - ACES HIGH
SANDOWN - 03 - DUNES
SANDOWN - 04 - MOONLOUSHE
SANDOWN - 05 - FIVECOUGARSTHANKS
SANDOWN - 06 - BARLINNIE
SANDOWN - 06 - SUNBURNT LAND
SANDOWN - 07 - ANASAR
SANDOWN - 07 - STRANGE LADY
SANDOWN - 09 - SANJUAN




Good Luck.


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