Smartgambler
Pro-Punter

Go Back   OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums > Public Forums > Horse Racing
User Name
Password
Register FAQ Search Today's Posts Mark all topics as read

To advertise on these
forums, e-mail us.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #1  
Old 5th September 2007, 08:47 AM
wesmip1 wesmip1 is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 1,601
Default Trust the public Tips

Trying a new system that has a quite a high number of bets each day. The system relies on trusting the public and finding "good" favouties. For the purpose of the system a fav is anything that goes off at $5 or less.

The only requirements for the horses below to be a bet are they start at $5 or lower on a tote (with about 30 secs to go) and the track condition is good or fast.

SEYMOUR - 02 - ASTRAL DANZA
SEYMOUR - 03 - BEIJING MAGIC
SEYMOUR - 03 - LIGHT VISION
SEYMOUR - 04 - DARK NOTE
SEYMOUR - 05 - TRADITIONAL BLUES
SEYMOUR - 06 - SUNBURNT LAND
SEYMOUR - 07 - JOEY JO JO
SEYMOUR - 08 - FORMAL ATTIRE
BALAKLAVA - 08 - JIM S PARTY
BALAKLAVA - 08 - SILENT ACTION
BELMONT - 02 - THE FUTURE
BELMONT - 03 - KATZ KID
BELMONT - 06 - WEST RIVER BOY

The betting will be $1 for a WIN and $1 for a place. No Progression just flat stakes.

Starting Bank is $100

All quoted prices for results will be Betfair odds (and if betfair odds are not available then we use UNITAB odds.)

Good Luck
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 5th September 2007, 06:59 PM
wesmip1 wesmip1 is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 1,601
Default

SEYMOUR - 02 - ASTRAL DANZA - NO BET
SEYMOUR - 03 - BEIJING MAGIC - SCRATCHED
SEYMOUR - 03 - LIGHT VISION - WIN $2.40 / $1.21
SEYMOUR - 04 - DARK NOTE - NO BET
SEYMOUR - 05 - TRADITIONAL BLUES - NO BET
SEYMOUR - 06 - SUNBURNT LAND - SCRATCHED
SEYMOUR - 07 - JOEY JO JO - 3rd $1.58
SEYMOUR - 08 - FORMAL ATTIRE 2nd $1.54

BALAKLAVA - 08 - JIM S PARTY - NO BET
BALAKLAVA - 08 - SILENT ACTION - NO BET

BELMONT - 02 - THE FUTURE 2nd $2.00
BELMONT - 03 - KATZ KID - NO BET
BELMONT - 06 - WEST RIVER BOY - NO BET

Total Win Bets : 4
Return : $2.40

Total Place Bets: 4
Return : $6.33

Total Bets: 8
Return : $8.73

Profitable day overall.

Good Luck.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 6th September 2007, 07:33 AM
wesmip1 wesmip1 is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 1,601
Default

Not as many selections today:

MT GAMBIER - 07 - DAVINCIS SECRET
NORTHAM - 02 - LIFE BECKONS
NORTHAM - 06 - AERIAL MUSTER
NORTHAM - 08 - WEST RIVER BOY

Good Luck.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 6th September 2007, 09:08 AM
crash crash is offline
Suspended.
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: gippsland lakes/vic
Posts: 5,104
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by wesmip1
Trying a new system that has a quite a high number of bets each day. The system relies on trusting the public and finding "good" favouties. For the purpose of the system a fav is anything that goes off at $5 or less.

The only requirements for the horses below to be a bet are they start at $5 or lower on a tote (with about 30 secs to go) and the track condition is good or fast.

Good Luck


wesmip1,

How are you deciding that the horses you put up are going to start public favorites, or are they pre-post favorites from the newspaper or something? How do you determine which horses to list here?
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 6th September 2007, 09:29 AM
Sportz Sportz is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 11,978
Default

I think he's using a certain selection criteria (which has nothing to do with odds), and then he only backs them if they start $5 or less.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 6th September 2007, 10:20 AM
wesmip1 wesmip1 is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 1,601
Default

Crash,

Sportz is correct.

I have developed a way of determining if a market fav is worth backing. It is based on a number of rules (one of which is last start winner). But of course I don't know which horse will be a fav at runtime so this is a method which requires you to be sitting in front of the pc watching the prices. If it looks like the horse will go at $5 or less then its a bet.

The only other condition is that the track should be rated GOOD or FAST.

Good Luck.
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 6th September 2007, 11:57 AM
Chrome Prince Chrome Prince is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 4,426
Default

I guess you could set up some sort of trigger betting program, that bets "only if".

I know myself, it gets very frustrating if you watch for the whole day and only one horse qualifies.
__________________
RaceCensus - powerful system testing software.
Now with over 412,000 Metropolitan, Provincial and Country races!
http://www.propun.com.au/horse_raci...ng_systems.html
*RaceCensus now updated to 31/12/2024
Video overview of RaceCensus here:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W821YP_b0Pg
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 6th September 2007, 12:26 PM
wesmip1 wesmip1 is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 1,601
Default

Chrome Prince,

Done that myself ... and it works quite well. Currently reads all tabs and places the bet on betfair if it meets certain criteria.

Good Luck.
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 6th September 2007, 06:41 PM
wesmip1 wesmip1 is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 1,601
Default

MT GAMBIER - 07 - DAVINCIS SECRET - NO BET
NORTHAM - 02 - LIFE BECKONS - 2nd $2.00
NORTHAM - 06 - AERIAL MUSTER - WIN $4.00 / $1.63
NORTHAM - 08 - WEST RIVER BOY - LOST
Total Win Bets : 7
Return : $6.40

Total Place Bets: 7
Return : $9.96

Total Bets: 14
Return : $16.36

Overall still in profit.
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 6th September 2007, 06:46 PM
wesmip1 wesmip1 is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 1,601
Default

Tommorrows bets:

Remeber Must be $5 or lower on a tote and TrackCondition must be GOOD or FAST.

ALICE SPRINGS - 01 - CAMDEN
CANBERRA - 05 - BANDJIN
MOE - 09 - CHIEFCOMINGFIRST
SANDOWN - 01 - BLOKKATOO
SANDOWN - 02 - ACES HIGH
SANDOWN - 03 - DUNES
SANDOWN - 04 - MOONLOUSHE
SANDOWN - 05 - FIVECOUGARSTHANKS
SANDOWN - 06 - BARLINNIE
SANDOWN - 06 - SUNBURNT LAND
SANDOWN - 07 - ANASAR
SANDOWN - 07 - STRANGE LADY
SANDOWN - 09 - SANJUAN




Good Luck.
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Forum Jump



All times are GMT +10. The time now is 06:49 AM.


Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
©2008 OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved . ACN 091184655