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-   -   Big Winners (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=16845)

Shaun 9th November 2007 12:28 AM

Big Winners
 
Can anyone help with this question.

If i backed the longest priced horse in every race what would my strike rate be and the profit/loss

Bhagwan 9th November 2007 02:52 AM

Heres is something you may like to try which has shown some intersting results.

Target one runner in every race that is paying $33
If not one available , take the next price down e.g. $32 ect. until one finds a selection.

I can almost guarantee to hit one or two winners within 30-35 bets.

Have a bank ratio of 1:250
Level stakes.

Cheers.

Bhagwan 9th November 2007 03:04 AM

If one targeted the rank outsider in all races the with 10 runners & less .
I think one will find the SR to be around 2-4%
The POT or LOT may vary wildly.

The run of outs could be anything .
e.g. 65+

Shaun 9th November 2007 09:38 AM

So you are saying it could be as low as 1 winner for every 100 bets or even lower

burrah 9th November 2007 10:37 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Shaun
So you are saying it could be as low as 1 winner for every 100 bets or even lower
Shaun,
If you go to Adrian Massey site you can find figures for various odds.
basically once you go above 20/1 to 100/1 you will lose between 50 and 70 per cent of your investment
regards

darkydog2002 9th November 2007 11:13 AM

Very handy Chart.

Thanks Burrah.

Cheers.
darky.

Shaun 9th November 2007 03:08 PM

Very nice indeed

Bhagwan 9th November 2007 04:39 PM

Fri 9th Nov
Using UniTAB prices using the chasing the $33 or less plan.

3 winners were struck paying $20 $23 $30
Out of 23 races =13% SR
Ret $73
Prof +50 = 217% POT

Cheers.


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