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-   -   Neurals Odds-on (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=18855)

Try Try Again 11th May 2009 02:31 PM

Neurals Odds-on
 
After reading Michaelg's Neuralmania it got me thinking about the rules and with all the investigation I've done on the Neurals I prefer the CF, TIM and $ approach (rather than CP, CF and $ of Michaelg's rules).

The only other change to Michaelg's rules is the qualifier must have run 1st or 2nd last start

Since 6th May there have been 24 selections for 10 winners (S/R 41.7%) and 19 places (S/R 79.2%).

Win Bank $7.90 - 32.9% POT %
Place Bank $6.64 - 27.7% POT %

It will be interesting to see how it goes.

michaelg 11th May 2009 03:39 PM

Try,

since 7 May my method has produced 23 selections for 7 winners for a POT of 7.8%, and 17 placegetters for a POT of 6.5%.

A huge difference with your method coming out way on top.

It looks like under the circumstances that the TIM could be more accurate than CP.

As you say, it will be interesting to see how it goes.

Try Try Again 11th May 2009 06:26 PM

Hi Michaelg,

I can not thank you enough for throwing up these little systems which has got me thinking on how I can improve (hopefully) on them.

You have give me (and everyone else) ideas which we have not even thought of.

If we can all benefit with everyone throwing ideas around then we will all be better off, especially financially!

Well done again (I seem to say that a lot with your ideas)!

michaelg 11th May 2009 07:29 PM

Thanks, Try - its appreciated.

Because each of our current systems have logic - our neural settings give the selections an odds-on chance of winning, and they have good current form - that I suppose we can have some degree of confidence in them. And its good that there are an acceptable number of selections, unlike the Unitab 100 pointers methods.

As you say, it will be interesting (and hopefully profitable/exciting) to see how it goes.

Try Try Again 12th May 2009 09:23 AM

Hi Michaelg,

When you are reporting your successes/failures what TAB dividend are you using? I use Sportsbet's Citybest+ for Metro meetings and Country Best (best of NSW and Vic tote) for non Metro meetings.

When I apply these dividends to your results I get a much higher POT% than the figures you quoted (>20% for the win dividends compared with the 7.8% you quoted).

As we all have said it is very important to get the best odds available and not rely on a single Tote.

Twodogs 12th May 2009 10:04 AM

Totally agree TTA,

This game is hard enough and getting a better price than the tabs is one of the easier things to do. Can make aaaa of difference!!

Cheers
Twodogs

Try Try Again 12th May 2009 10:51 AM

For the Neurals Odds-on there are 2 selections today

Canterbury R2#3 Sixty Four
Mornington R3#4 Norwegian

Good luck to all who follow these selections!

michaelg 12th May 2009 10:52 AM

Hi, Try.

I use NSW TAB.

However, if it continues to perform I will certainly look at Sportsbet. The difference is so much greater especially with Win betting.

Try Try Again 12th May 2009 02:42 PM

One winner ($1.70/$1.20), one unplaced.

Always tomorrow!

Try Try Again 13th May 2009 12:06 PM

Only one selection today

Sunshine Coast R2#3 Carry On Dancer


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