Don Scott Quinellas
 

This morning I decided to look at Quinellas based on D.S's market. I applied the rules:

1) Minimum of 12 starters.
2) Box all selections under $100 in D.S.'s market.
3) A no-bet race if D.S.'s fave is odds-on.

The results using Unitab divvies are:

Qualifying races = 12.
Successful Quinellas = 10.
Outlay of $252
Return of $401
Profit of $149

I did not look at trifectas because the TAB take-out for quinellas is a few percentage points less than trifectas. However it would also have been a winning day because it struck the trifecta at W'bool R10 which paid inxs of $3,400 ($5,000 on NSW TAB).

I know one good day does not a winning method make but I'll be again looking at it tomorrow.

Thanks for sharing those findings Michael,

It looks interesting.

I'll list today's selections and see how they go:

Warwick Farm
7/ 1, 3, 4, 6, 7, 8, 11

Eagle Farm
6/ 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 8, 11, 12, 13

Murray Bridge
4/ 1, 4, 7, 8, 12
6/ 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 11
7/ 1, 2, 3, 8, 9, 10
8/ 1, 2, 4, 5, 6, 7, 9, 10, 12, 14

W'bool
3/ 3, 4, 7, 10, 12, 13, 14
4/ 1, 3, 4, 5, 10, 15, 16
6/ 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 7, 9, 10, 13, 14, 16, 19
7/ 1, 4, 8, 10, 15, 20

Pinjarra
2/ 5, 7, 8, 10, 11, 12, 13
3/ 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 10, 11
4/ 1, 5, 6, 8, 9, 10, 13
5/ 2, 3, 4, 7, 9, 12
7/ 3, 4, 6, 7, 9, 10, 13, 14, 15, 17
8/ 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 12, 13, 14

Quinella outlay of $465.
Trifecta outlay of $6,498

Without any large divvies it'll be a wipe-out.

I for one, am prepared for you to take that risk.

I will not say that is not a good idea but to put up 460 plus dollars with just one days past results is utter maddness .

Job123, you're right, it's utter madness.

However, I'm not betting them, I'm just testing them on paper.

I'm also testing the Win bet on Betfair S.P. assuming a $5 bet, and after 9 races its almost $100 in profit, and with NSW TAB about $80 in profit. Quinellas are currently about $50 in the red.

What are you doing for the win bet? Putting $5 to win on each of the selections below $100 in each race that qualifies?

I used to box the top 5 rated with excellent results long term.

That's it, Max.

Bet $5 on each qualifying horse with Betfair S.P.

Darky, you've stopped???

Paper trading is utter madness.
Checking results at the end of the day, seeing how much you may have won or lost, collating over a month, a year whatever.
It doesn't take into account the rollercoaster of emotions that will (I say will and not may) affect your decisions. It's ok to say that a system would be ahead after a certain amount of time, but would any of us be prepared to put on that $1000 bet when all we're trying to do is win $1 or break even on the result. Especially if we started with $1 bets and if this one loses the bank is gone etc etc etc