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-   -   Still Going Strong (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=6967)

Chuck 10th January 2005 09:58 AM

Still Going Strong
 
Had a look at the recent results of my old 1-1 system for Saturday, and i was pleasantly suprised!
SR01-1 1st
MR01-1 3rd
BR01-1 2nd
AR01-1 2nd
CR01-1 1st
WR01-1 1st
TR01-1 1st

Selections: 7
Places: 7
Wins: 4 (Return $12.40)

Rules for those who don't know them:
-Race 1 Number 1
-Inside $8.00
-Barrier 1-8

Chuck

darkydog2002 10th January 2005 11:34 AM

NOT MUCH JOY.
 
Not much joy in this one Chuck.Sorry.

3 years results .

BETS = 4649 /WINS 991/STRIKE RATE 21.32 %

LOSS ON TURNOVER = 19.46 %

Cheers.
Darky.

gizzard 10th January 2005 12:30 PM

darky, could you check some results for me too?

I have been doing ok with a place system for a while but it has recently turned against me. I was wondering what kind of results it gives historically to determine whether to continue with it or not.

I guess this should be in the system thread really but anyway the rules are:

1. #1 - Top Weight or Equal Top Weight
2. Won last start unless first up after a spell
3. Ran in last 14 days
4. <= 12 runners

As I say, this is a Place system

Any feedback would be appreciated.

darkydog2002 10th January 2005 01:21 PM

GIZZARD
 
Over 3 years.
WIN
884 bets/215 wins/Strike rate 24.32 %/LOT 20.93 %

PLACE
884 bets/496 places /Strike rate 56.11 %/LOT 13.69 %

1ST UP

122 bets /19 wins /win % 15.57 %/LOT 44.84 %

PLACE
122 bets /51 places /Strike rate 41.8 %/LOT 27.6 %

Cheers.
darky.

Ron50 10th January 2005 02:00 PM

Sorry Chuck
 
Sorry Chuck I tried that one 16 years ago but could not make a profit.Please keep trying as the" Holy Grail" is out for we mortals to find.

Cheers,
Ron.

gizzard 10th January 2005 03:32 PM

Thanks Darky....I'll keep looking for a system!

It's amazing how a small sample can throw you out.
My own is based on 100 races and gave:

Win SR 28% LOT -25.1%
Place SR 71% POT 8.5%

There's a big difference in the Place strike rate in my sample and the historical data over 3 years.

Shaun 10th January 2005 05:51 PM

Guys the Holy Grail is out there and being used by a select few that don't post on here

darkydog2002 10th January 2005 06:08 PM

NUDGE NUDGE WINK WINK COAT TUG.
 
The more filters you have the less likely is a system to perform.

Cheers.
darky.

Shaun 10th January 2005 06:12 PM

Thats the truth Darky.....less filters means less complicated...filters help us to cut down on the bets....i think 5 is plenty

marcus25 10th January 2005 08:39 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by gizzard
Thanks Darky....I'll keep looking for a system!

It's amazing how a small sample can throw you out.
My own is based on 100 races and gave:

Win SR 28% LOT -25.1%
Place SR 71% POT 8.5%

There's a big difference in the Place strike rate in my sample and the historical data over 3 years.


Hi Gizzard!
The most important factor to look for when you checking past data is the possibility that there was an abnormally high win or place return! These have to be descarded if you want to have a realistic statistical result. Unless of course you are deliberately targeting long shots.
Cheers!


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