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-   -   True Favourite (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=8791)

Benny 19th April 2005 06:38 PM

True Favourite
 
I use the following when deciding the true favourite in a race.

The prepost favourite must have a strike rate of 25% +
Started within the last 21 days.

Are there any other factors i should include.

There was one in the newsletter a couple of weeks ago, but i lost it after my computer crashed. Can someone please help?

Benny

BJ 20th April 2005 08:25 PM

The true favourite is the one that has the most money on it to win....

kenchar 20th April 2005 08:58 PM

Quite correct,
Now if someone could come up with a way to teach nags to read the tote board, then maybe favs would win more than 30% of the time.

Bhagwan 20th April 2005 10:11 PM

It raises the question of what the object of targeting these favs is.
Does one want to bet them to win or bet them to loose.
I have a couple of plans that hit 45% SR .
It still shows a -10% LOT because the divs are so consistantly low.

A simple plan for targeting pre-post Favs to show a profit .
Bet all the paper pre-post Favs which have not been selected in the top 3 selections of any tipster one wishes to follow.E.g. TABQ Radio 3 selections.
Some of the prices can be good, with some good winning days.

Shaun 21st April 2005 12:48 AM

The true Fav is the one that crosses the line first....finding that one is up to you

dingoboy 21st April 2005 10:00 AM

i know what a true fav is
 
It is the one that i ALWAYS leave out, "that thing is no good, i leave him out and bet the others" and yes, it is the one that wins !

BJ 21st April 2005 11:10 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Shaun
The true Fav is the one that crosses the line first....finding that one is up to you


The term favourite refers to the horse most punters beleive will win.
The winner is the one that crosses the line first.

Shaun 21st April 2005 08:23 PM

in hindsight if every one knew it was going to win it would be the fav


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