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  #1  
Old 19th April 2005, 05:38 PM
Benny Benny is offline
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Default True Favourite

I use the following when deciding the true favourite in a race.

The prepost favourite must have a strike rate of 25% +
Started within the last 21 days.

Are there any other factors i should include.

There was one in the newsletter a couple of weeks ago, but i lost it after my computer crashed. Can someone please help?

Benny
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  #2  
Old 20th April 2005, 07:25 PM
BJ BJ is offline
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The true favourite is the one that has the most money on it to win....
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  #3  
Old 20th April 2005, 07:58 PM
kenchar kenchar is offline
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Quite correct,
Now if someone could come up with a way to teach nags to read the tote board, then maybe favs would win more than 30% of the time.
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  #4  
Old 20th April 2005, 09:11 PM
Bhagwan Bhagwan is offline
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Default

It raises the question of what the object of targeting these favs is.
Does one want to bet them to win or bet them to loose.
I have a couple of plans that hit 45% SR .
It still shows a -10% LOT because the divs are so consistantly low.

A simple plan for targeting pre-post Favs to show a profit .
Bet all the paper pre-post Favs which have not been selected in the top 3 selections of any tipster one wishes to follow.E.g. TABQ Radio 3 selections.
Some of the prices can be good, with some good winning days.
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  #5  
Old 20th April 2005, 11:48 PM
Shaun Shaun is offline
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The true Fav is the one that crosses the line first....finding that one is up to you
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  #6  
Old 21st April 2005, 09:00 AM
dingoboy dingoboy is offline
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Default i know what a true fav is

It is the one that i ALWAYS leave out, "that thing is no good, i leave him out and bet the others" and yes, it is the one that wins !
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  #7  
Old 21st April 2005, 10:10 AM
BJ BJ is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Shaun
The true Fav is the one that crosses the line first....finding that one is up to you


The term favourite refers to the horse most punters beleive will win.
The winner is the one that crosses the line first.
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  #8  
Old 21st April 2005, 07:23 PM
Shaun Shaun is offline
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in hindsight if every one knew it was going to win it would be the fav
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