4th February 2006, 04:38 AM
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Suspended.
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: gippsland lakes/vic
Posts: 5,104
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by DR RON
Crash, in theory you are right regarding overlay betting. If you can frame a race accurately then in the long term you should come out on top. Not so much on any given day, but in the long term yes. The only problem I have with it is that if you don't rate every race every day, how do know that the races you don't get a chance to bet on for any reason, aren't the ones that you would get many of your winners from. winners.
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Doc,
Simple. I don't. Nor do I care. There are enough races to select from to bet in to keep me happy. If I miss something that after the event, would have been better, big deal. Another day starts tomorrow.
Lets take today [SAT.] Here are my betable races that should offer me betable fair odds on my selections with only a few possible winners and not 6 [or more] possible winners. You will notice that none of them are stakes or group races: Welters and Qualities class is as fare as my serious money ever gets bet. That's my punting style and other punters have maybe the same or their own approach that works for them.
Melb. R4 and R8. Doomben R5 and R7 Morphettville R6. That's it. The big races and a couple of others I'll have fun bets in. What I miss doesn't worry me, I concentrate on what I think I can nail now and don't worry about what I 'might' have nailed from results. If I can't get my fair price for my selection, I ignore the race. I don't look for another to bet on. Tomorrow starts tomorrow.
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