Refer to below for the longest expected run of outs chart.
If you want to figure out the average run of outs or medium, multiply the the charts longest run by 40%.
e.g. If the longest expected run of outs on horses with a 30% SR is 20.
Multiply by 40% =8 this will be the average run of outs before striking a winner .
You could create a staking plan around this figure.
1) Increase your bets by 50% for the next 8 bets, if still hehind after 8 bets , increase by another 50% , until in profit or
2) Stop betting until a winner ,then start again or
3) Halve your bets until a winner gets up ,then go to your full bet until another run of 8 outs comes along. That way you are halving your losses without the feeling you are missing out on something.
I prefer to stop betting , then start again once a winner gets up .
I have saved a fortune doing this, but it does take dicipline.
STATS on longest expected run of outs.
Click onto below.
http://www.propun.com.au/forums/vie...ic=2410&forum=7