Hey Mav,
Had some rain during the week, at last. Not really great for the racing, but it was nice for a change. The fields have dropped off pretty badly, but we'll see what we can do
.
Race 1 - Think Colonial Lass is the one here. Good in the wet and it was a good run last time when deep. Amber Lodge is a non-winner in town, but she can place in this sort of race. Our Jangles is good in the wet, but those runs have been at the Sunny Coast in lesser grade. There should be good odds available for Colonial Lass with both Our Jangles and Amber Lodge attracting good support.
Race 2 - *Shrugs*. The one with the most upside, for mine, is a Rory's Jester (Red Hot Pistol) and we know their record on wet going. However, given that its a bad race, ill stick with him. He ran some really good races last prep (he was also well back in many of them). Given the strong money he attracts whenever he runs, i get the feeling the stabel have a strong opinion on him. Irish Loup and Commander Monash for the placings.
Race 3 - Pretty ordinary field here. 2 lightly raced ones are my focus here. Scattergun and Shouldawon are both risks in the wet going, but as i said, bad field. Given that, ill go for Scattergun on class alone over Shouldawon who shows good promise. Maybe Pappapo for 3rd, who has been consistent lately.
Race 4 - The Spear too good. Has run better ratings than Stolit, even though beaten last time. The winner of that race (Quizzical Lady) is a very very good horse. If he handles the ground, then i'd be surprised if he didnt go close. Stolit has to carry the big weight against some good horses on the wet going. Thats a big ask and i think it'll be too much for him. Good horse though. Maybe Matzumi for 3rd.
Race 5 - Omnitrader, Appertain, Cold Start. NEXT!
Race 6 - Katenian. I think this is a trap race. Naval Seal will find it tough here because A Little Naughty goes fast, so he won't have everything his own way out in front. Given that, if Katenian gets a good run in transit, i can see him getting home over the top of them. Naval Seal and A Little Naughty for the placings.
Race 7 - Kanetoshi Millions strikes an ordinary field and should go close. Hasn't exactly struck top form this time in, but this is the sort of race he can win. The wet track won't worry him, so i think he is good value. Clevergaze and Loughnan for the placings.
Race 8 - The rain has really destroyed this race, which is a shame because it was a top race. General Patton, with all the scratchings, looks a good thing. Handles the wet, has beaten better horses than these....yea, he'll do me. Prang and Mr Hornblower for the placings.
Good luck all,
Sven