28th July 2003, 06:10 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 4,431
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Quote:
On 2003-07-28 17:44, crash wrote:
It's easy to work out that money attracted to favorites is almost always an underlay bet.
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Not so.
It depends on the actual chances of the horse.
If horse X has true odds of even money for the win but is crunched from $3.00 into $2.40 on the tote, you are still getting value in my book.
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As profit is the goal, underlay betting will end in a loss,loss situation.
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Agreed.
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Most winners are easers or at least steady anyway.
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I find no evidence to support this.
The vast majority of winners in the less than $10 range are usually well supported and many cases of 9/1 into 6/1 etc.
And less than $5.00 are 7/2 into 5/2 as an example.
You will find value in the drifters for sure, but there are more winners that firm in the market.
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