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Old 14th July 2007, 07:50 AM
crash crash is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: gippsland lakes/vic
Posts: 5,104
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Party,

I realize what you are getting at and thanks for your stats info., as it gives me a comparison base for the stats of something a bit different from the stat. findings you supplied [thank you].
The Stats. you supplied would be based on SP favorites. However, this system is not based on SP favorites. The system here would have different stats. How different is as yet unknown.

I have noticed for some time how often the 3 min. to jump favorite gets up, after [often] rapidly drifting into a nice price when it doesn't start as SP [the money has been poured onto another horse by the smart money brigade, followed by the money from the legion of smart money followers]. 60% of the time the 3 min. fav. will start as fav. It's the winners from the other 40% that add an edge to your stat. figures and it would differ between say Uni Tab and Stab.

It's this above edge I have no measurements for, but I'm confident it might tum out to be a decent edge that hopefully will push this system into clear profit. It will be only after a period of time that the stats. for the 3 min. favorite stats. can be compared with the SP favorite stats. you have supplied.

Leave out Melb.today I think, due to hurdle races.
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