Dutching is simply backing a few horses to profit a set amount.
But shouldnt you be taking advantage of overs in the market ?? When i first started dutching i kept it simple and backed the 2-5 horses i thought had the best chance and just backing them to win a set profit.
But a few times i might have had a horse rated at $3 ,,,it wins paying $10 and yes i've won set amount for the race but in reality misssed out on $7 worth of overs.
So now my dutch betting system is.
1. My top rater has to be paying overs to be a qualifying race.
2. I dutch using my own ratings.
3. If one of my chances is paying unders i then use the actual odds avaliable to win my set profit amount.
Eg, My Market for Doomben Race 7 on Saturday
Rash promise 3.20
Foolish 7.40
Secrets untold 9.40
Rebounded 10
My bets (profit $100) (this using awful tab figures)
Rash Promise....outlay $847....OVERS (paying $5) so win $1623
Foolish....outlay $616....win $100
Secrets Untold....outlay $532....win $100
Rebounded outlay $616....win $100
This is just an example as with a top rater so far ahead of the 2nd top rater i would bet outright on the top rater.
This goes against the principle of "only betting on horses you rate as value" but there wouldnt be many races or if any that i'd have my my top raters all paying juicy overs . Most if not all the time i think the market has it wrong.
Can anyone see any flaws in this ? or any comments or thoughts are welcome .
Cheers
