Hi Lenny,

"If the target choice does NOT have a barrier advantage, what is done? Is the Radio pick the choice or is the race passed?"

The race is passed. Apart from taking advantage of barrier bias the barrier rule is there as a device to cut the volume of races.

" Does that mean if it rated 100, it is chosen regardless of barrier position?"

Yes.

"When you talk about the "Radio Tab", I assume you are talking about the dedicated racing station (2KY in Sydney)."

Not sure what radio station. The TABQ website in Queensland has three picks labelled "Radiotab" - I assume in Queensland. I've never bothered to look into who makes the selections or how. I just know they have a good success rate and are a good starting point for considering a race.

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As a spin-off from the above rules and continuing this line of research, consider this:

1. Any runner numbered below the Radiotab picks.
2. Barrier 1.

I've tested this on 605 new races now for $599.40 wins and $620.90 places. With another filter it could be a goer.

I tried eliminating longer races on the theory that barrier is more a factor in shorter races but the results didn't match the theory. On the contrary, the better priced winners came from longer races. Which is it? Is barrier more likely to play a role in shorter or longer races? I suppose there are longer races where there are several turns in which inside position would be important?


Hermes