I could do with some advice on this system. I think it is a reasonable idea and my tests go well, but it could be enhanced.

The idea comes from the observation that on the TABQ website the Radio Tab tipsters will often pick a low-weighted runner, but it is the NEXT runner down the list that scores (usually a place). For example: the Radio tipsters pick #11 and #12 is in the money.

I gather what is happening here is that the Tipsters have correctly guaged that a runner at such-and-such a weight can make it - but they picked the wrong one. Instead, a long-shot at the same weight scores. Often enough it is the next runner down the list, but often two runners down or one runner up. All the same weight.

My strategy is to try to find a way to pick these long-priced placegetters.

So far a simple filtering to restrict us to the bottom weights:

1. Note the highest number on the Radio Tab picks. (Eg. 3,8,2 = highest = 8.)
2. Eliminate races where the highest is 7 or less.
3. Selection is the next down. Eg. Radio Tab highest = 8 then selection is #9. Bet to place.
4. If selection is scratched, move down to next runner.
5. If Radio Tab highest numbered pick is the bottom weight, pass the race.

This produces long runs of outs punctuated by $7, $8, $10, $12, $15+ placegetters. In my trials at a profit. I tested 380 races, 47 placegetters, return a very good $436. You can also expect the occasional whopping great winner ($50+) but who knows how often?

This is a miserable sample for a system like this. Nevertheless, I think this has potential. Use the Radio Tabsters to alert you to when a low weighted long shot might be in with a chance.

If you scroll through enough past results on the TABQ website you will notice the phenomenon: the Radio tipsters pick #13 and #14 scores a third paying $10+. I'm looking for a way to turn it into a reliable thing.

Any ideas or solid stats appreciated.

Hermes