27th August 2010, 12:06 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Nov 1999
Location: Western Australia
Posts: 2,435
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G'Day BRYZ55, I'm sure someone will have those on a data base, whilst I havent, I have done extensive research "longhand" over quite a few years on PP favs and a couple of things have become obvious.
First if you back em all the loss is about 15% on turnover (a killer)
the overall S/R (and LOT) is about the same as the actual favs, though of course they are not always the same horses but usually are.
There is some figures to show that this lot is decreased if you restrict betting to the first 5 races on the card.
The loss is again reduced if you always bet @ BOB (where available) or Best Tote/SP (where available) or at least best tote.
from there the combinations of filters is enormous; a few that I like are: raced within 21 days (or first up 1200 metres and less)
No 3k claimers
Within 3.5 lenghts of the winner last start
25% S/R with at least 5 career starts.
But the list is endless, all seem to decrease the lot slightly but you end up with 6 bets a year.
Its a case of applying a set of filters that still leaves a reasonable T/O and hopefully a small profit, remember though it WILL be small. good luck!
Just a thought, just by backing the pre-post fav (always use the same sourse) you will hit about 32% without any knowledge of horse racing whatsoever, thats better than most so-called experts!
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