27th August 2010, 08:45 PM
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Banned
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 879
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by darkydog2002
The Win % is the Raw % of LS Winners at their next start without taking into account any other factor.
The Winning % of favs who won their LS is 30.8 % therefore a 70 % chance of losing and usually at a poor price.
If you bet those favs in the 55.0 - 57.5 Kg range then the strike rate is considerably higher.
Without any Form study I,d be inclined to look for Favs in the last 4 races with weight 55.0 - 57.5 KG that are at $4 or better with a senior jockey to 1.5 apptc riding it
I dont have any backup for this though.
The big thing though is to get a better price than the average.
Its almost impossible to win betting 1 horse a race no matter what the BSA tell one.
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agree with your general thrust there darkyd, for me anyway most of its in the weights, bryz55 suggest you spend a bit of time looking in that direction.
but darkyd, whats this 'BSA'? |