Thread: Tab Numbers
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Old 24th March 2011, 07:00 AM
Dale Dale is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Bundy
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Quote:
Originally Posted by partypooper
So again talking PURE statistics, 80% of winners ran within 3.5 lengths of the winner last start, TRUE, but of course that means that 20% of winners did NOT run within 3.5 lengths of the winner last start etc etc.



Nah we are on different pages,the above stat tells me nothing,no mention of how nay horses actualy finished within 3.5 lengths.

It could be that in 10 races there were 8 winners but maybe the reality is there were 120 horses in those 10 races and 60 of them were within 3.5 lengths of the winner last start.

Thats 8 out of 60 winners at odds on the short side considering their close up finish,a conservative $7 average win price still leaves you $4 out of pocket.

All speculation but as a stat useless unless you know how many selections you are dealing with.
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