24th March 2011, 07:00 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Bundy
Posts: 292
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Quote:
Originally Posted by partypooper
So again talking PURE statistics, 80% of winners ran within 3.5 lengths of the winner last start, TRUE, but of course that means that 20% of winners did NOT run within 3.5 lengths of the winner last start etc etc.
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Nah we are on different pages,the above stat tells me nothing,no mention of how nay horses actualy finished within 3.5 lengths.
It could be that in 10 races there were 8 winners but maybe the reality is there were 120 horses in those 10 races and 60 of them were within 3.5 lengths of the winner last start.
Thats 8 out of 60 winners at odds on the short side considering their close up finish,a conservative $7 average win price still leaves you $4 out of pocket.
All speculation but as a stat useless unless you know how many selections you are dealing with.
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