Could some one please let me know what's the winning % of TAB numbers in Open Races .

Thanks for any replies

Best i can do is a data base of approx 20,000 races throughout australia.


These include all races country metro prov for a set period a few years ago.

Unfortunately these can't be seperated into open races only (take forever)

Let me know if you want me to post them.

cheers
garyf.

These have been posted before. use search, I think it was in a thread re favorite stats.

thanks for reply

thanks for the help

Tab=1=18.5
2=15.2
3=13.2
4=12.0
5=10.5
6=9.1
7=7.9
8=7.2
9=6.1
10=5.6
11=4.9
12=4.4
13=4.0
14=3.8
15=3.4
16=3.7
17=2.8
18=2.0
19=2.9
20=2.2
21=2.5
22=0.0
23=0.0
24=0.0

Nothing sensational here the top 5 win 69.4% 0f races.

The top 5 win% win 67.0% of races.
The top 5 pl% win 67.1%.

What obviously does improve the s/rate is field size restriction.
Eg tab nos 1 say in a f/size of 4=35.6.
5=36.2
6=25.4
7=23.0
8=22.7

Tab nos 2 f/size 4=30.7
5=27.5
6=21.9
7-21.0
8=16.2
9=17.2
10=16.7.

Tab nos 3 f/size 4=26.5
5=17.5
6=19.5
7=18.3
8=16.8
9=13.4.

Whilst the s/rate improves the dividends only get lower so you lose,
unless you wan't to apply other filters that may make it profitable.

Hope this helps.
cheers
garyf.

Here's something to chew on,

80% of handicaps are won by one of the top 6 in the field
80% of winners were within 3.5 lengths of the winner last start
80% of winners are racing within 3.5Kg's of their set weight last start (ignoring any allowances)

could be a starting point

84% of races are won by the top 6 pre post prices!

Not all stats are useful,this one is actualy helpful as it tells you how many selections you would have had to acheive that result.

Thank's ( dale-partypooper-garyf-beton ), your replies are much appreciated and the info is very handy. As a newbie I am proberly asking some basic (stupid) questions but I must start some where.

thanks again

ken :-****

I agree with that Dale, there was also 1 other thing, but its only from memory a similar percentage of winners had raced within 21 days OR were first up (this time in) and racing over 1200 metres or less.

The crux of the idea was to start with the top 6 in handicaps, ........so as you also pointed out THAT is the max selections you could have in a race.

Then, apply the other rules, i.e 21 days, DFW, set weight, and if you like in the first 6 Pre post betting,

What you are left with is the bets in that race (which could be none-6)