27th September 2011, 09:42 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Sep 2009
Posts: 1,044
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Vortech
Looking at a different angle I'm going to look at some results were a horse has had the best time splits over 600m, 400m, 200m and ran unplaced and backing them next start.
For example Caulfield 4 17/9/11 No 15 Hi Belle.
Had the best splits over the 1400m for 600 / 400 / 200 and was unplaced.
Next race was over 1600m at Bairnsdale on the 25/9 race 6.
It won paying $5.20 on unitab. A good return.
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Hi Vortech,
I think you're spot on with your analysis there.
Hi Belle ran cracking sectionals over 1400 on Saturday and stepped up to the perfect distance of 1600m midweek. Very well placed and did the right thing.
There a numerous examples of this type of scenario. A recent one that I followed was Ladramahs. He ran fine closing sectionals at Caulfield over 1400m and took 3 more runs to score midweek but he sure won in style and at the respectable price of $6.
This angle is definitely worth pursuing, especially looking to unplaced horses for a little bit of value and if they were unlucky in running, EVEN BETTER.
Best of luck!
Cheers,
The Schmile
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