Cheers Mo, I will read through all that today.

About my method, If i showed you how I rate speed then you would see me for the hobby punter and idiot that I am. Its the type of rating that wouldn't satisy the Woof's of this world, but it provides me with a base to start from.

Then the rest is all opinion & supposition. But that's this game really. No one "knows" how a race will unfold, who is ready to produce their best, who is going to put in a shocker, etc. We just form an opinion. No moving averages & logits will create a crystal ball.

The problem is the time and energy it takes to eek this profit. I find it draining, but at the same time I have no plans to find a new hobby. And I am also well aware that I am the worst gambler in the world. Whenever i do a pure gamble, it never comes off. My recent success is on the back of 20 years of losses. But at least I realise that. And it's all because I decided to add some discipline to my punting, and not just go down to the pub at noon every Saturday, see the guys, have some beers and hope for the best.