Been watching this on closely.

BTW: There was a 100k bet placed on Labour just this week.

Labour $2.52 = 40% (with about 40% of the money.
Coalition $1.50 = 67% (with about 60% of the money)

So looks like the market is about right, but doesn't match with the Polls. I think people are expecting the ALP to lose in NSW seats, like Banks (and maybe Greenway, which is usually safe ALP).

[i]
Labor would win election: poll
The Age August 28, 2004 - 9:14AM

Labor would easily win a federal election if it were held now, according to a new poll.

The nationwide Morgan Poll of 1,926 voters found two-party support for the ALP rose two percentage points to 55 per cent while coalition support slid to 44.5 per cent, its lowest since March.

Primary support for the ALP rose half a percentage point to 43.5 per cent while coalition primary support dropped one percentage point to 39 per cent.
[i]



[ This Message was edited by: jakelee on 2004-08-30 11:17 ]