
16th December 2004, 12:46 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: newcastle nsw
Posts: 436
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value (again)
Contentious topic.I keep going back to the "value threads" like a dog to an old bone.I have an excellent "dutching" program,it helps me to make a steady profit.I've managed to link it to the retirement staking plan and it works a treat.
But value it aint.
For example.I intend to have a bet in race 6 at Kynton today.I will use the pre-post odds for this example.
Ideal Ben 33 units @ $3 for a "saver"
The Mookta 41 units @ $5 for a "win"
Record Score 25 units @ $8 for a "win".
The Mookta gets up 105% profit
Record Score gets up 100% profit
Ideal Ben gets up,,,money back...
Dutching on tab's is a dicey business.I place my bets in the last minute and cop whatever variation comes up.Sometimes it's my way, sometimes not.
Over time the above approach is bringing me a steady income stream.If it suits me I sometimes use a place bet as a saver.Just log it into my program as a win bet.
This is very conservative punting,but i'm just an old pussycat.On the other hand the poorhouse is full of bold punters.
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