21st December 2004, 09:44 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 359
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Imagele
Delphami, well supported into favouritism on supertab.
Always back and wide and didn't ping in the straight.
A bit perplexed about Melb. racing at the moment. Horses seem to be jumping classes with regularity.
1st. and 2nd. in this race had won C1's at their last starts.
Yesterday we had a maiden winning a C1 and Flash in the Pan, a maiden winner, jumping straight into a C4.
Previous form, 10 starts, 1 win, 1 placing.
Maybe the computerised handicapping system has changed the face of form study.
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Imagele,
My analysis of it is this - the winner had 5 career starts for two wins, but had raced in much tougher grade in town at 2 of her 3 unplaced runs.
Today, as you noted, she skipped a grade and met a field rated a couple of lengths stronger than her last start win. However, she did have improving ratings and was well-weighted after the claim for James Mott (thereby dropping 1.5kgs on her last-start win).
It was a tricky race with a few chances, including the horse you selected and Michelle Payne's mount Bettencourt. Bettencourt had won 2 from 3, and had missed the start at her unplaced run. Like the winner she had improving ratings. I probably would have gone for her.
Anyway...that's racing.
Cheers,
F
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