View Single Post
  #10  
Old 10th January 2005, 08:39 PM
marcus25 marcus25 is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 172
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by gizzard
Thanks Darky....I'll keep looking for a system!

It's amazing how a small sample can throw you out.
My own is based on 100 races and gave:

Win SR 28% LOT -25.1%
Place SR 71% POT 8.5%

There's a big difference in the Place strike rate in my sample and the historical data over 3 years.


Hi Gizzard!
The most important factor to look for when you checking past data is the possibility that there was an abnormally high win or place return! These have to be descarded if you want to have a realistic statistical result. Unless of course you are deliberately targeting long shots.
Cheers!
Reply With Quote