I really think (3) Evander will be terribly hard to beat.I think he is just starting to mature into a nice type which for some punters is a year or two too late.
The race has a few likely leaders which will definetely put pace in the race which will suit and of course has a nice weight pull over the other fancies plus has the J Hawkes/D Beadman combination.

(2) - This Manshood is racing in great style of late and with alley 4 should be just of the pace and should get a nice cart into the race at the bend and is of course a last start winner within 7 days (Which i'm sure Ian Craig will mention endlessly).

(1) - Arlington Road would have been top pick except for the bad gate of 13 , i think he has to go forward to win and with the likely speed in the race and the bad gate will make it terribly hard to beat Evander and This Manshood home.

Can't leave out (4) Baghdad either for obvious reasons.