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#2
22nd October 2006, 07:04 PM
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Leroy,
Never a problem to test something out. Won last 2 starts and rating 88-95 gives a return of 70% for win and 77% for places over 2064 selections. Won last 2 starts and rating>95 gives 86% for win and 91% for place over 3714 bets. Won last 2 starts and rating=100 gives 90% for win and 93% for place over 1645 bets. Hope that helps out. Keep them coming ... Also I wrote the code yesterday to grab radio tips so I have started getting them and should have them up to date this week. So if you want to include that in your method you can. Good Luck 
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#3
22nd October 2006, 07:15 PM
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Quote:
Is it possible to add same distance as last start too ? and maybe same track condition aswell ? win and place. And can you run it for won last 3 starts too please? thanks again Leroy
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#4
23rd October 2006, 07:43 AM
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Hi W,
Could you please test what the SR % is for the 3 Radio tips 1st tip, 2nd tip, 3rd tip % individually if possible. And possoibly thr ROI. For distance exactly 1600m please. Thanks very much.
__________________
Cheers.
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#5
23rd October 2006, 09:36 AM
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Hi Wesmip Would you mind contacting me using email address listed below
Many thanks
__________________
spareemail71@yahoo.com
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#6
23rd October 2006, 12:20 PM
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Wes,
Can you test this one please mate? 1)Last start beaten fav 2)Must be clear PP fav again 3)Must have finished within 3 lengths of winner last start 4)Must be racing within 15 days(inclusive)of last start 5)No distance change beyond 200mtrs up/down Cheers
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#7
23rd October 2006, 03:52 PM
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Quote:
Using last 2 starts both wins and rating = 100 as it gave better results in all cases. Same Condition : Win returns 85%, place returns 93% Same Distance : Win returns 83%, place returns 92% Same Distance and Condition : Win returns 79%, place returns 94% Using last 3 starts as all wins and rating = 100 Same Condition : Win returns 90%, place returns 101% Same Distance : Win returns 97%, place returns 114% Same Distance and Condition : Win returns 87%, place returns 120% Good Luck.
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#8
23rd October 2006, 03:56 PM
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Quote:
Bhagwan, 1600m for Radio Tips : Radio Tip 1 : 27% SR - 86%ROI Radio Tip 2 : 17% SR - 79% ROI Radio Tip 3 : 13% SR - 73% ROI I only have 674 radaio tips at this stage at that distance but I will have a lot more when I finish getting all the data, I will let you know if there is any major changes in SR or ROI. Good Luck.
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#9
23rd October 2006, 04:02 PM
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Quote:
Everything but PP fav again as I don't keep PP. Returns 80% win and 85% place over 10101 bets.
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#10
23rd October 2006, 04:21 PM
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Thanks wes,
in regards to won last 3 100 raters same distance and conditions place return 120% is that all field sizes or just those races with 3 divs? if it's all field sizes, can you run it for those with a 3rd div please? and what is the s/r and number of bets please? Cheers Leroy
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