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#1
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Hi guys. Does anyone know of any sites that would contain statistics on winning saddlecloth numbers in either vic or nsw. I am working on a system and i could really do with these stats. I dont suppose anyone out there has a lazy couple of grand to invest ?
Thanks megamoos |
#2
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Megamoos,
Metro races only: TAB # 1 Runners:12,737 Winners: 2,205 S/R: 17.31% LOT:-22.43% Ave Div: $4.48 TAB # 2 Runners:12,829 Winners: 1,858 S/R: 14.48% LOT:-14.97% Ave Div: $5.87 TAB # 3 Runners:12,822 Winners: 1,648 S/R: 12.85% LOT:-19.29% Ave Div: $6.28 TAB # 4 Runners:12,799 Winners: 1,406 S/R: 10.99% LOT:-26.18% Ave Div: $6.72 TAB # 5 Runners:12,802 Winners: 1,262 S/R: 9.86% LOT:-21.79% Ave Div: $7.93 TAB # 6 Runners:12,587 Winners: 1,238 S/R: 9.84% LOT:-9.24% Ave Div: $9.23 TAB # 7 Runners:12,391 Winners: 961 S/R: 7.76% LOT:-23.45% Ave Div: $9.87 TAB # 8 Runners:11,914 Winners: 818 S/R: 6.87% LOT:-26.21% Ave Div: $10.75 TAB # 9 Runners:11,036 Winners: 711 S/R: 6.44% LOT:-22.85% Ave Div: $11.98 TAB # 10 Runners:9,789 Winners: 563 S/R: 5.75% LOT:-20.42% Ave Div: $13.84 That'll do for now. |
#3
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Thanks for the figures C.P. - I have always felt that no. 6 does pretty well, & your data shows it out performs the others by a long way.
Megamoos - the only lazy thing I've got around here is my missus, & I doubt you'd want her. bb |
#4
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Looks like the handicappers are not doing their jobs :lol:
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#5
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Megamoos,
Further to my last posting, I've done only a small sample on TAB #2 where TAB #1 is scratched (TAB# 2 is the highest saddlecloth) Runners 100 Winners 20 Avg div: $3.28 Win S/R 20% Will provide a larger sample soon. |
#6
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thanks a heap for those very useful stats chrome prince. It confirms my sample I did as well. I grabbbed all my old newspapers and sampled 1000 races both vic metrop and country. The results I obtained were very similar. I was particularly interested in nos. 1,2,3
No.1 Strike rate 14.9% S/R place 13.3% No.2 Strike rate 12.8% S/R place 11.6% No.3 strike rate 13.7% S/R place 11.6% No.4 strike rate 9.8% S/R place 9.6% No.5.strike rate 9.6% S/R place 9.9% Sorry, Belarine Bomber but how did u come up with number 6 as the best performed when number one is the go with2 and 3 as good backups, don't you reckon? From these stats it boils down to at least a winner for every 7 or 8 races for each of these numbers (1,2,3) and in Chrome Prince's case slightly better. The combined strike rate for these saddlecloths is a pretty high 40%+ for both stats. I've got the feeling that this trend has been continuing for a number of years. This leads me to the need for a system with stats like this, of which I have briefly mentioned in the betting systems forum. I'm gonna look over the past years if I can to put this idea into action. Thanks all for your interest and keep it coming! Cheers megamoos |
#7
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Megamoos - My thoughts about no. 6 as the best performed number are based on profitability (or lack of it) - no. 6 was the least bad!!
LOT for no. 6 was -9.24%, way better than the others. bb |
#8
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Sorry Bellarine Bomber. Excuse my ignorance but what is LOT. Could you briefly explain it to me ?
Cheers megamoos |
#9
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Me again. Forgot to ask but does anyone like Chrome prince have any stats on these :
the average starting price not for just winners but all runners with that number. I have been using only 5 to 1 to try and fully test the system. Secondly does anyone have any stats on longest losing sequence for each saddlecloth or particularly say numbers 1 to 6 Thanks megamooooooooos |
#10
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Megamoos - LOT = Loss On Turnover.
By backing no. 6 every time it started, you would have ended up losing 9.24% of the total amount you had outlaid. (according to C.P.'s data) For the no.s you are interested in, no.1 lost 22.43%, no.2 lost 14.97%, & no.3 lost 19.29%. No.6 is the 'least bad' by a long way. bb |
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