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Old 13th March 2005, 07:40 AM
topsy99 topsy99 is offline
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yesterday one of my old specials came up.
sometime ago i was mentioning horses coming down in distance being a good chance.
scenic wells came up on the tote at $18 paid $12 due to larry olson blowing it.
coming back from 2020 metres to 1600
missed the start by 5lengths got a miraculous rails run for about 400 metres and got up.

strange thing. i've seen horses with nothing in their way get blocked for a run but when they are going there seems to be no stopping them.
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Old 13th March 2005, 07:59 AM
Sportz Sportz is online now
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Quote:
Originally Posted by topsy99
sometime ago i was mentioning horses coming down in distance being a good chance.

coming back from 2020 metres to 1600


Hmmm, interesting. Normally I would consider a drop of 420m a bit of a negative thing unless the shorter distance is the horse's best distance.
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Old 13th March 2005, 08:14 AM
Paddy Paddy is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by topsy99
yesterday one of my old specials came up.
sometime ago i was mentioning horses coming down in distance being a good chance.
scenic wells came up on the tote at $18 paid $12 due to larry olson blowing it.
coming back from 2020 metres to 1600
missed the start by 5lengths got a miraculous rails run for about 400 metres and got up.

strange thing. i've seen horses with nothing in their way get blocked for a run but when they are going there seems to be no stopping them.


Yep a little 'outside the square' system you've mentioned many a time topys99 & you're obviously still reaping the rewards. Goodonya!
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Old 13th March 2005, 01:05 PM
foxwood foxwood is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Sportz
Hmmm, interesting. Normally I would consider a drop of 420m a bit of a negative thing unless the shorter distance is the horse's best distance.
Imo you'd be right >90% of the time there Sportz but I still see conspiracies all over the place. (Don't try to tell me that Lee Harvey Oswald wasn't set up).
There are many examples, and I'm not saying you would see it every meeting, of a horse being raced at a distance far too long for it just so that it can post a genuine 8,9 or 0 alongside the name and a big beaten margin. Next start back to a more suitable distance, not even necessarily his pet distance, and a much better price is available and he often gets the bikkies. I suspect the trainer would justify it by saying the longer race was part of the conditioning process (only after the win of course).

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