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4th March 2009, 07:35 PM

Stix

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Join Date: Apr 2005

Posts: 3,012

1x1 System

1. 2yo
2. last run before spell = 1st
3. Spell
3. First run from spell = 1st

form 1x1

S/R 39%
POT 50.9%
Av Div $3.85

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Stix
.......Giddy Up..... !!

5th March 2009, 11:50 AM

Try Try Again Try Try Again is offline

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Join Date: Nov 2007

Posts: 1,058

Hi Stix,

Interesting results. I have a few questions if that is alright.

Are these for all 2yo races or just from Metropolitan meetings?
The results you have quoted are they based on "Best Tote", SP, TF or a particular Tote?
Over what period are the results taken?

Looks promising for very little form study!

Try Try Again

5th March 2009, 11:11 PM

Stix

Member

Join Date: Apr 2005

Posts: 3,012

1. All Metro
2. UniTab
3. 8 years

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Stix
.......Giddy Up..... !!

6th March 2009, 08:13 AM

Chrome Prince Chrome Prince is offline

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Join Date: Jan 1970

Posts: 4,426

2yo geldings

50% S/R
245% POT

Actually there aren't enough of them, the figures just look good, so try racing within 30 days.

42.55% S/R
63.83% POT

Still a small number, but you never know.

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Last edited by Chrome Prince : 6th March 2009 at 08:15 AM.

6th March 2009, 08:46 AM

Chrome Prince Chrome Prince is offline

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Join Date: Jan 1970

Posts: 4,426

Here's a plan I donate to prove you can make money on odds on favourites.

1. Last start winner
2. Horse must have started odds on last race.
3. Must be racing within 21 days
4. Must be odds on today
5. Geldings only.

66.97% S/R
10.29% POT at tote prices

6th March 2009, 09:07 AM

thorns

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Join Date: Aug 2007

Posts: 446

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chrome Prince

Cheers for that Chrome, what sort of number of runners are we talking about over a year?

6th March 2009, 09:14 AM

Chrome Prince Chrome Prince is offline

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Join Date: Jan 1970

Posts: 4,426

Results 4/2/2009

Sandown Zivalee $1.90

Selections Saturday and Monday only if odds on:

09/03/2009 WARWICK FARM
R 6 # 3 COUNTRY TIDE
R 6 # 9 ILLUME

09/03/2009 MOONEE VALLEY
R 4 # 1 METEOR MASTER

09/03/2009 MORPHETTVILLE
R 9 #18 RIKBAT

07/03/2009 FLEMINGTON
R 6 #17 SECRET FLYER
R 6 #22 AICHI
R 8 # 4 THESEO
R 8 # 8 ROAD TO ROCK

07/03/2009 EAGLE FARM
R 4 # 5 SLEEPY JACKSON
R 5 # 3 HEARTSUN
R 8 #15 ABBACINA

07/03/2009 ASCOT
R 3 # 2 INNOVATION

6th March 2009, 09:20 AM

Chrome Prince Chrome Prince is offline

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Join Date: Jan 1970

Posts: 4,426

Quote:

Originally Posted by thorns

Cheers for that Chrome, what sort of number of runners are we talking about over a year?

Not many from my metro only database, I'm running it on a country & metro database and it will take some time to complete, I'll post full results when it's finished.

P.S. it throws some very long priced placings as well when they aren't odds on this start.

Actually, scratch that last statement it was just a purple patch, instead just back them when favourite (odds on and not odds on)

44.82% S/R
2.63% Loss at tote prices

Top Fluc - Home and hosed

Last edited by Chrome Prince : 6th March 2009 at 09:27 AM.

6th March 2009, 10:56 AM

Chrome Prince Chrome Prince is offline

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Join Date: Jan 1970

Posts: 4,426

Thorns,

All races for 8 years that qualify:

860 selections
58.6% S/R
504 winners
-3.5% at tote prices

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