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#1
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Laying using the Predictor (A T R)
I tried something last night in the UK markets which focuses on using the A T R Predictor. (Available "at the races" website ).
The Rules are simple: 1. Only consider races with 70%+ race confidence. 2. Find the thirds rated Horse and divide its rating by 1.4 ( meaning we are finding horses rated 40% less then the third top rated horse. 3. Lay all horses that are below this figure. For example if the 3rd rated horse was rated 423 then we would lay any horses in the same race which are 302.14 or less. The test last night layed 26 horses ranging from $10 through to $300 using a fixed liability (ie To lose a theoretical $100). It made $85. Only 2 horses placed. No money was gained/lost in this test and it will continue the same until this proves itself with 3000 or more testing lays. For those interested I will be laying the following horses tonight: Track / UK Time / Horse Cheltenham 14:35:00 Swincombe Rock Naas (IRE) 15:05:00 First Impressions Naas (IRE) 15:35:00 In Great Form Naas (IRE) 15:35:00 Minor Power Naas (IRE) 15:35:00 The Burrow Vision Naas (IRE) 15:35:00 Kilberg Opera Naas (IRE) 15:35:00 Equation Naas (IRE) 15:35:00 The real Tyson Naas (IRE) 15:35:00 Sitting back Wolvehampton 18:20:00 Skylla Wolvehampton 20:20:00 Carnival Dream Lingfield 12:00:00 Trust me Boy Lingfield 14:50:00 Global City Lingfield 15:55:00 Under fire Lingfield 15:55:00 Beckfield Dancer Uttoxeter 15:15:00 Thetasteofparadise Wetherby 13:45:00 Panthers Run Wetherby 15:25:00 Shadows Lengthen |
#2
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All selections lost last night.
The theoretical return after 2 days is now $145 after 38 selections. |
#3
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This still a goer UB?
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#4
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Yeah still montioroing it. It had no winners last night again.
Selections for tonight. These are to 1.3 rather then 1.4 as Im just testing to find the right figure to divide by. Limerick (IRE) 13:40:00 Close Comet Limerick (IRE) 13:40:00 Keysers hill Limerick (IRE) 13:40:00 The Two jays Limerick (IRE) 14:15:00 Cara Court Limerick (IRE) 14:15:00 For Dylan Limerick (IRE) 14:15:00 The Real Target Limerick (IRE) 15:45:00 Calypso Queen Limerick (IRE) 15:45:00 Vardas Supreme Limerick (IRE) 15:45:00 Catch the Stalker Limerick (IRE) 15:45:00 Senior Again Limerick (IRE) 15:45:00 Valors Minion Limerick (IRE) 15:45:00 RobertsTown Rover Limerick (IRE) 15:45:00 Clares Gent Limerick (IRE) 15:45:00 The Burrow vision Plumpton 14:30:00 FoxesBow Plumpton 15:00:00 Monash Lad Leichester 15:20:00 Phoenix Eye Leichester 15:50:00 Posh Totty Wolvehampton 16:10:00 Elegant Dancer Wolvehampton 17:10:00 Holcombe Boy Wolvehampton 17:10:00 Lucky Dan Wolvehampton 17:40:00 Fleetwoodsands |
#5
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Good luck with it UB. There are a lot of horses being laid in the 15:45 at Limerick.
Actually that reminds me of something; There once was a man from Nantucket..... |
#6
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hi uselessbettor
is there a A T R Predictor or like available for australian races? thanks |
#7
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Quote:
I think there are about 16+ horses in the race. |
#8
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#9
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Quote:
ok i'll do that cheers |
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