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  #1  
Old 26th September 2005, 06:05 PM
Mad Gambler Mad Gambler is offline
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Default Strike rates

I recieved an email that stated they get an 80% strike rate from 6 rated selections. On the other hand, I rate 2 or 3 races and take the top 5 or 6 according to the ratings, but I get only 16% strike rate.

Can someone clear up the confussion.

Mad Gambler.
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  #2  
Old 26th September 2005, 06:21 PM
Wunfluova Wunfluova is offline
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Mad Gambler, you are probably calculating the strike rate of winners to selections whereas they are referring to strike rate of winners to races?

Their strike rate of 80% means that they pick the winner of eight out of ten races from the top six selections. If you are not achieving a comparable strike rate then I suggest you change to a new ratings provider.

Wun
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  #3  
Old 26th September 2005, 06:24 PM
mad mad is offline
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They're not trying to sell you a system for $5000 by any chance?

If so - Run.
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  #4  
Old 26th September 2005, 07:18 PM
Shaun Shaun is offline
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I can acheive a strike rate of 75% winners to races with top 5....problem is as always what to do with your top 5 horses...if you backed them all you won't win....the best thing to do is take your top 5 and back anything paying more than $5 this should be about 3 selections a race
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  #5  
Old 27th September 2005, 08:54 AM
Dale Dale is offline
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The same sort of results can be gained by using pre post prices.

I'd study their respective average win dividends before outlaying any hard earned.

I'd also try to find out if they have a field size restriction on their selections and or how they do in the bigger fields,any mug can have an 80% strike rate from 6 selections in a small field.

Either way you still need to eliminate some no hopers to turn a profit.
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  #6  
Old 27th September 2005, 11:45 AM
davez davez is offline
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Question

why bother with any of these 'services'?

true enjoyment of the punt comes with the genuine satisfaction experienced when, as a result of your own hard work, you start to get it right more often than you get it wrong, something methinks that can never be experienced by paying for ones selections.
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  #7  
Old 27th September 2005, 12:19 PM
Mad Gambler Mad Gambler is offline
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I'm going to shop around for the best prices and see if I can make a profit as I have several online accounts with several bookmakers.

Just a thought. What do you guys think?


Mad Gambler
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  #8  
Old 27th September 2005, 12:43 PM
Oaksnaf Oaksnaf is offline
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To make a small fortune, start with a large one thats how i think of these services. Id rather do it myself, and like davez said its more enjoyable knowing you picked the winner yourself.

But your money, your choice. Just hope its the right one.
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  #9  
Old 28th September 2005, 07:32 PM
lomaca lomaca is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mad Gambler
I'm going to shop around for the best prices and see if I can make a profit as I have several online accounts with several bookmakers.

Mad Gambler

Hi Mad!
Just my opinion of course, and you (or anyone else) can try to prove me wrong, but if your strikerate is not good enough and-or your return is also so low, that you have to depend on a marginal difference in prices on offer, then you never really make long term profit.
Sure, sometimes you see quite large differences between TABs, but in the long run it all comes out relatively even, I have been watching it for some time now.
It is far more profitable to improve the strikerate or eliminate low paying nags. On top of that you will save yourself a lot of work and mistakes.
Just a thought.
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