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#1
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![]() Hi guy's...I tried posting this before but didn't work I'll try again now.
The system rules: 1. Selection must not be older than 5 years of age 2. Selection last time raced within 7 day's ago 3. Jockey riding selection must be in the top 5 on premiership table System only was used on Saturday meetings at Adlaide, Melb, Syd Brisbane metro tracks. I paper tailed this system for 6 months and it made around $100,000 but due to other commitments could not continue (don't know how it would turn out with real cash???) and I was wondering if there is anyone on this forum who has the resources to test this system out for a longer period than I did. Hypothetically, I started with $1000 and bet 5% of the bank to achieve the amount stated above. Look forward to your response. Last edited by lcm123 : 24th September 2007 at 03:23 AM. |
#2
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![]() Just looking at those system rules my guess is that 5% of your bank will kill you.
__________________
Pixie "It's worth remembering that profit isn't profit until it's spent off the racecourse." -- Crash |
#3
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![]() $1000 [5% bets] into $100,000 in 6 months [?]
Result for 22 Sep 07 CAULFIELD r5/11 x212 Gran Sasso (6)" M Rodd [unp] r7/3 1x90 Wonderful World (4)" L Nolen [3rd. 3.90p] EAGLE FARM 2/5 0x44 Vainroc (4)" A Pattillo [unp] 3/1 2284 Life's Short (5)" A Pattillo [2nd 1.90p] MORPHETTVILLE Nil Qualifiers It's only 1 Sat. but, O/l $200 approx, Return Nil. |
#4
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![]() Just ran the System rules with slight modification ( To restrict to SR, MR, BR, AR Saturdays only) and I don't have a running table of Jockeys in top 5 so I juyst chose a those from the current top 5 list on ************ website...
As per most systems the ROT is approx 86% using Unitab figures. Good Luck. |
#5
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![]() Top 5 percentage of riders at the track is an angle I have never thought about. Sure makes a lot at sense though but where do you find the list?
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#6
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![]() I can't give free plugs here but give me an em address and I'll send it.
You'll find the top 5 trainers per race there too. A punter could come up with all sorts of systems using the top 5 riders and/or trainers per race on any particular track. These horses also have top 5 SR trainers for the track* Balaklava 1/2 Esprit De Roses* 2/4 Kenwick* 6/6 To A Fault* Moonee Valley 2/5 Zingara* 4/4 Private Liaison* 5/9 Tears I Cry* Last edited by crash : 26th September 2007 at 10:07 AM. |
#7
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![]() Thanks for running the test wesmip1. What period of time did you run it for? What strike rate did you achieve? It usualy used to give a winner every 6 to 7 selections, but thats not to say it's going to do that now. My records for the 6 months was 36% strike rate.
Crash...not good this week end, eh? Perhaps it will pick a winner next week and put the balance into profit...I hope! ha ha ha. Angry pixie...I hope that is not the case, but with all staking plans I guess it's all a matter of consistancy of selections and most importantly value dividends...only time will tell, eh? Thanks again for your responses guys. |
#8
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![]() I was thinking that 86% ROT for such a simple system was pretty good actually, especially at Unitab prices, but one thing that puzzles, lcm123, you say that you achieved 1 winner in 6 or 7 (about 14%) yet you go on to say that you achieved 36% S/R?? not knocking just confused?
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#9
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![]() lcm123,
That test was over 3 years of data. The Strike rate was 17%. Good Luck. |
#10
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![]() I thought ROT of approx 86% pretty good.
With a few simple filters it could be improved no doubt. I'd change the 'within 7 days' to exactly 14 days only [14 days is always a better turn-a-round than 7 days] 1. No 2yr. old races or Maidens, Cups, Stakes or Group races. 2. Distances from 1100m to 2220m on Dead or better tracks only. 3. Selection must not be older than 5 years of age 4. Selection last raced exactly 14 day's ago only 5. Jockey riding selection must be in the top 5 on premiership table from any state. 6. If more than 1 selection ignore race. |
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