System,
1) No worse than dead track.
2) Placed on last track no worse than dead.
3) Run the same distance as last track.
4) Bet barrier 2-5
5) 8-12 runners
6) Last run 14 days.
7) Top jockey only.
8) Paying less than $3.50.

Could some one test it please?
Baco60

I couldn't include the jockey in this test.

Selections : 847

Wins : 295
S/R : 34.83%
Return : $739.10
Loss : $107.90
Loss 12.74%
Av/Div : $2.51

Places : 616
S/R : 72.73%
Return : 816.08
Loss : $30.92
Loss : 3.65%
Av/Div : $1.32

Based on 7 years results

Shaun, that place result looks interesting, are those divies Unitab?

Not sure, i used the race census program to get that info

Thanks Shaun,
Much appreciated.
B

Hi Baco.
I am assuming the $3.50 rule applies to live market price.

It is very difficult to show a profit in that narrow range using TAB prices.
Betfair would definitely put the idea into profit if one changed the rule for live prices to $2.80-5.00
This is the killing field price range a lot of professionals hone in on.

The Barrier rule may work strongest on races 1200m & less.
Have a look at races 1200m & less.


Try changing the rule about price to...
Must be $3.20-15.00 Pre-post newspaper.
I have found this to be a very strong rule for most systems & has improved a majority of systems showing an initial loss into a profit or less of a loss.

I believe you will see a lower SR but higher ROI (Return on investment).

Cheers.

__________________
Cheers.

Those divvies were using victorian dividends up to 2007 and from thereafter queensland because of various restrictions in getting the data.

It tends to balance out mostly evenly in the longrun.

__________________
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