Smartgambler
Pro-Punter

Go Back   OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums > Public Forums > Horse Race Betting Systems
User Name
Password
Register FAQ Search Today's Posts Mark all topics as read

To advertise on these
forums, e-mail us.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #1  
Old 17th October 2008, 11:05 AM
thorns thorns is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2007
Posts: 441
Default Staking

I am keen on setting up a test bank for a method I have been testing for a while. It shows a healthy POT, and a strike rate of 41%. What would be an ideal amount to stake per selection? I ran those stats through teh staking machine and in a sample of 4000 bets, it had a longest run of 17 out in a row. Would 2.5% be a sensible amount? Or would that be too high?
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 17th October 2008, 01:38 PM
partypooper partypooper is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Nov 1999
Location: Western Australia
Posts: 2,426
Default

Thorns, I have a plan with a similar S/R. I found that it was not the LLR that was the problem it was that you could get 2 or even 3 of them split by an even money shot if you see what I mean? which would decimate a bank of only 40 bets (2.5%) I think a maximum of 1% is the way to go, but many use a non reducing rule which has some merit. Remember it's *patience* that makes the difference.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 17th October 2008, 05:46 PM
crash crash is offline
Suspended.
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: gippsland lakes/vic
Posts: 5,104
Default

41% SR is obviously a place system. A 'healthy' POT would be what? Hard to recommend a sensible % of bank bet without those figures.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 17th October 2008, 05:58 PM
thorns thorns is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2007
Posts: 441
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by crash
41% SR is obviously a place system. A 'healthy' POT would be what? Hard to recommend a sensible % of bank bet without those figures.
Its actually a win betting system. And the POT after 500 or so bets is around the 20% range using UniTAB figures. So when I start betting using Best Tote, it can only improve. (Providing the system doesnt go tits up)
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 17th October 2008, 06:23 PM
partypooper partypooper is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Nov 1999
Location: Western Australia
Posts: 2,426
Default

Crash, as you tend to back horses of "value" 41%S/R would sound like a place system. But for example my main plan (place) hovers around 72% S/R and I know of others achieving 80-85% consistantly. In every case it requires the patience and tenacity of a saint, and the ability to "get over" a few Weekend Hustlers along the way (pardon the pun)
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 17th October 2008, 06:28 PM
crazybadger crazybadger is offline
Suspended invalid e-mail address
 
Join Date: Aug 2008
Posts: 19
Default

Its all about ROI (Return on Investment) and not just strike-rate. For example I've got a win system that hits 45-48% but most of the prices are short (especially the winners) so it just doesnt actually work.
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Forum Jump



All times are GMT +10. The time now is 01:09 PM.


Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
©2008 OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved . ACN 091184655