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  #1  
Old 5th February 2009, 12:24 PM
crazyjord crazyjord is offline
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Default How would you bet these

Results for yesterday

2.80 1.30
5.30 2.oo
.......7.60
.......1.80
.......2.20
6.50 2.40
4.40 2.00
L
.......1.50
4.40 1.80
L

Just win just place or 1w 3p
It's a system ive been working on that centres around horses having 3rd or 4th start from a spell.

Todays picks are

Seymour
r6-1
r7-9

Bunbury
r6-8
r7-2

Last edited by crazyjord : 5th February 2009 at 12:29 PM.
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  #2  
Old 5th February 2009, 03:28 PM
Shaun Shaun is offline
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You will always make more from win only
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  #3  
Old 5th February 2009, 03:34 PM
jayjones1 jayjones1 is offline
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thats rights but heaps more risk
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  #4  
Old 5th February 2009, 05:12 PM
crash crash is offline
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That doesn't make sense. making more money = more risk[?] Lower strike rate for the win only sure, but in the end the odds are in favour of the win bet [regarding profit], not the place bet. Profit is the name of the game, not strike rate.
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  #5  
Old 5th February 2009, 10:19 PM
crazyjord crazyjord is offline
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Quote:

Quote:
Originally Posted by crash
That doesn't make sense. making more money = more risk[?] Lower strike rate for the win only sure, but in the end the odds are in favour of the win bet [regarding profit], not the place bet. Profit is the name of the game, not strike rate.
Yeh i can see where your coming from,i was thinking more along the lines of more places = more profit,but i suppose if you can get enough constant winners then your a lot better off.



Quote:
Mmm well that's the forum curse.
lol yeh i was wondering if that would happen


Ok my system has come up with 15 selections over 5 meetings tomorrow,do you think thats to many for 1 system in a day ?
I suppose if your selections are coming in you can say it's not many but,the more you have the greater your odds of losing or winning,what do you think?
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  #6  
Old 5th February 2009, 11:44 PM
AngryPixie AngryPixie is offline
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Crazy, I don't think the number of selections is relevant. I've about 70-80 selections on a good Saturday, and most other days have 30-40 selections. I would suggest though that you have some idea of the value of each selection and don't plonk on every one. As an example, of todays 30 odd possible lays, I could only get the price I wanted on 8.

What's important is your edge. No edge no bet

PS: Oh and making a profit too
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"It's worth remembering that profit isn't profit until it's spent off the racecourse." -- Crash

Last edited by AngryPixie : 6th February 2009 at 12:08 AM.
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  #7  
Old 6th February 2009, 05:37 PM
TWOBETS TWOBETS is offline
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Smile But maybe not that simple!

Quote:
Originally Posted by crash
That doesn't make sense. making more money = more risk[?] Lower strike rate for the win only sure, but in the end the odds are in favour of the win bet [regarding profit], not the place bet. Profit is the name of the game, not strike rate.
While I agree with your line Crash, I'd like to remind all that there are plans of attack out there that specifically target place betting and often these systems show a woeful loss on win bets. As you know it's all I do cause I have a low pain thresh hold. So yes the odds might be in favour of the win bet but for me Strike rate IS the name of the game ...cause that equals profit.
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  #8  
Old 6th February 2009, 06:25 PM
crash crash is offline
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A $2 [often less] place collect on a $8 winner is not enticing. Saying that however, there is something to be said for the place bet. Over $8w SP I bet 1x3 because in my experience enough place bets get up to make it worthwhile. Below $8w SP I've found the place bet a waste of time and a loss over straight win bets.
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  #9  
Old 5th February 2009, 07:51 PM
AngryPixie AngryPixie is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by crazyjord
Seymour
r6-1
r7-9

Bunbury
r6-8
r7-2

Mmm well that's the forum curse.

Quote:
Originally Posted by crash
Profit is the name of the game, not strike rate.

Absolutely right!

Crazyjord, get about 500 more selections under your belt and you'll be able to answer the question yourself
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"It's worth remembering that profit isn't profit until it's spent off the racecourse." -- Crash
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